Stade Nyonnais
vs
FC Basel 1893
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Basel 1893
0 – 3 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893
| Probability | Stade Nyonnais | Draw | FC Basel 1893 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 1.6% | 5.6% | 92.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 1.6% | 5.6% | 92.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Basel 1893
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.67 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 match preview
Stade Nyonnais faces a challenging match against FC Basel 1893 in the Schweizer Cup, with model probabilities indicating a significant advantage for the visitors. Stade Nyonnais has a mere 2% chance of winning, while FC Basel holds a commanding 93% probability. The expected goals further highlight this disparity, with Stade Nyonnais projected to score 0.52 goals compared to FC Basel's 3.93.
Recent form shows Stade Nyonnais struggling, with their last five matches resulting in three losses, one draw, and another loss. In contrast, FC Basel has shown some resilience, managing one win and one draw in their last five outings. The most likely scoreline for this encounter is 0-3, with an 82% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stade Nyonnais and FC Basel 1893 expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.24
Stade Nyonnais and FC Basel 1893 attack and defence ratings
Stade Nyonnais
FC Basel 1893
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Basel 1893 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 98.4% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Basel 1893 win | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Nyonnais | 1.6% |
| Draw | 5.6% | |
| FC Basel 1893 | 92.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.9% |
| No | 60.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 7.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 94.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 98.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Basel 1893 win | 78.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.8% | |
| Loss | 9.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 11.9% |
| 0-4 | 11.7% | |
| 0-5 | 9.2% |
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 stats
Stade Nyonnais and FC Basel 1893 recent form
| Stade Nyonnais |
WLLLDL |
| FC Basel 1893 |
LWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.