Schweizer Cup · ·Round of 32

Köniz vs Brühl

Garuda Lions Prediction: Brühl

0 – 3 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Köniz 3%
Draw 8%
Brühl 89%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Brühl wins
89%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
99%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
54%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 3
9% of simulated outcomes

Köniz vs Brühl overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Köniz vs Brühl

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKönizDrawBrühl
Model3.3%7.5%89.2%
Market———
Final3.3%7.5%89.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Brühl

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.87 vs 0.79.

Köniz vs Brühl match preview

Köniz faces Brühl in the Schweizer Cup on October 17, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Brühl victory at 89%, with Köniz's chances at just 3% and a draw at 8%. The expected goals suggest a significant disparity, with Köniz projected to score 0.79 and Brühl 3.87. The most likely scoreline is 0-3, occurring with a 9% probability.

Recent form shows Köniz winning their last match, while Brühl also comes off a victory. The model predicts a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 84%, and both teams to score has a probability of 54%. The confidence grade for these probabilities is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Köniz ↓ / Brühl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 25% 1 19% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 84%
No goals 1%

Köniz and Brühl expected goals

Köniz 0.79
Brühl 3.87

Total expected goals: 4.66

Köniz and Brühl attack and defence ratings

Köniz

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Brühl

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Schweizer Cup

Before and after this match

Köniz vs Brühl markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brühl 89.2% 1.12 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84.3% 1.19 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 96.7% 1.03 — —
Handicap -1 Brühl win 76.5% 1.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Köniz3.3%
Draw7.5%
Brühl89.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584.3%
Under 2.515.7%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)10.8%
12 (either side)92.5%
X2 (draw or away)96.7%
Handicap -1Brühl win76.5%
Push (exactly one goal)12.7%
Loss10.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-39.2%
0-48.9%
1-37.2%

Köniz vs Brühl stats

Köniz and Brühl recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Köniz vs Brühl head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Köniz vs Brühl odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Brühl Predicted score 0 – 3 Low Bet Now
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