Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
vs
Étoile Carouge
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge
| Probability | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Étoile Carouge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 36.1% | 34.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.9% | 36.1% | 34.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge match preview
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy faces Étoile Carouge in the Schweizer Cup, with model probabilities indicating a 30% chance of a home win, a 36% likelihood of a draw, and a 34% chance for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, predicted at 19%, with a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% probability that both teams will score. Expected goals are slightly in favor of Étoile Carouge at 0.91 compared to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's 0.84.
In terms of recent form, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has recorded a series of results with two draws and four wins in their last six matches. Meanwhile, Étoile Carouge has struggled, managing just one win in their last six outings, alongside two draws and three losses. Historically, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has a strong advantage in their last ten encounters, securing six wins compared to Étoile Carouge's two victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.64
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge attack and defence ratings
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Étoile Carouge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 29.9% |
| Draw | 36.1% | |
| Étoile Carouge | 34.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.2% |
| No | 64.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Étoile Carouge win | 9.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 71.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.8% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 0-1 | 14.6% |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge stats
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge recent form
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
WDWWWD |
| Étoile Carouge |
LLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-31 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-25 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-27 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 5-1 |
| 2024-06-29 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.