Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
vs
Étoile Carouge
3 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | R. Freitas | ||
| 13′ | R. Dantas Fernandes | ||
| 34′ | T. Bouchlarhem |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge
| Probability | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Étoile Carouge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.3% | 37.3% | 28.4% |
| Market | 60.1% | 22.1% | 17.8% |
| Final | 53.7% | 25.9% | 20.4% |
| Edge | -6.4% | +3.8% | +2.6% |
Why Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.64
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge attack and defence ratings
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Étoile Carouge
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge: result vs prediction
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 – 0 Étoile Carouge
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 53.7% | 1.86 | -6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 53.7% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Étoile Carouge | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 65.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.6% |
| 1-0 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge stats
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge recent form
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
WDWWWD |
| Étoile Carouge |
LLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-31 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-25 | Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-27 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 5-1 |
| 2024-06-29 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.7%, draw 22.0%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.15 | 5.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.15 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.18 | 4.97 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .