Rapperswil
vs
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 – 3 Full time
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
| Probability | Rapperswil | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.3% | 23.4% | 57.3% |
| Market | 25.2% | 23.3% | 51.6% |
| Final | 23.7% | 23.3% | 53.0% |
| Edge | -5.9% | +0.1% | +5.8% |
Why Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stade Lausanne-Ouchy below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rapperswil and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Rapperswil and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy attack and defence ratings
Rapperswil
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: result vs prediction
Rapperswil 0 – 3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 53.0% | 1.89 | +5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapperswil | 23.7% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 53.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% |
| No | 41.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.1% |
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy stats
Rapperswil and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy recent form
| Rapperswil |
WWLDLL |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
DWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rapperswil and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy going into this match
Rapperswil record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Rapperswil | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-22 | Rapperswil | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-14 | Rapperswil | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Schweizer Cup | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.2%, draw 23.3%, away 51.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.76 | 3.92 | 1.71 |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.95 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 3.92 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | 3.91 | 4.11 | 1.81 |
| SBO | 3.24 | 3.54 | 1.80 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .