Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil

0 – 3 Full time

3′R. Bayard
6′N. Mupemba
28′N. Mupemba
39′Y. Ryter
46′L. MulajJ. De Donno
46′G. Padula LennaR. Pousa
50′N. Mupemba
58′N. GjorgjevA. Azemi
64′Y. RyterE. Rossier
65′M. Dind
69′M. DindL. Seydoux
72′E. SenayaA. Bakayoko
72′N. MupembaI. Beka
74′S. Diarrassouba
76′R. BayardD. Carraco
76′I. KeitaL. Veya
86′A. CharveysI. Maslarov

Referee: D. Anex

Neuchatel Xamax FC 47%
Draw 23%
Rapperswil 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNeuchatel Xamax FCDrawRapperswil
Model38.7%23.7%37.5%
Market50.0%23.1%26.9%
Final47.2%23.3%29.6%
Edge-11.2%+0.6%+10.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Neuchatel Xama ↓ / Rapperswil → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil expected goals

Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.81
Rapperswil 1.78

Total expected goals: 3.59

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil attack and defence ratings

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Rapperswil

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil: result vs prediction

Neuchatel Xamax FC 0 – 3 Rapperswil

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Neuchatel Xamax FC 47.2% 2.12 -11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.6% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.5% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Neuchatel Xamax FC47.2%
Draw23.3%
Rapperswil29.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.6%
Under 2.530.4%
Both teams to scoreYes70.5%
No29.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.4%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)52.8%
Handicap -1Neuchatel Xamax FC win20.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-18.0%
1-27.9%

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil stats

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil going into this match

league record before kick-off

Neuchatel Xamax FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Rapperswil record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

7Neuchatel Xamax FC wins 1Draws 0Rapperswil wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-08RapperswilNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League2-3
2026-03-15Neuchatel Xamax FCRapperswilChallenge League3-2
2025-10-24Neuchatel Xamax FCRapperswilChallenge League2-1
2025-09-26RapperswilNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League1-3
2018-05-18RapperswilNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League0-1
2018-03-31Neuchatel Xamax FCRapperswilChallenge League1-0
2017-11-18RapperswilNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League2-2
2017-08-28Neuchatel Xamax FCRapperswilChallenge League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 23.1%, away 26.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.77 3.92 3.49
Bet365 1.83 4.00 3.40
BetVictor 1.83 4.00 3.50
Betano 1.93 3.95 3.25
Betfair 1.85 4.00 3.25
Marathonbet 1.75 3.92 3.42
Pinnacle 1.85 4.27 3.57
SBO 1.86 3.53 3.04
William Hill 1.83 3.80 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 —
X 3.95 ▲ +0.03
2 3.40 ▲ +0.09

14 snapshots recorded, from .