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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

1 – 3 Full time

31′E. Abedini
33′L. Bergsma
40′E. AbediniR. Bayard
61′L. VeyaI. Keita
61′D. CarracoB. Diomande
61′M. DindL. Seydoux
64′J. MandakaF. Ahuissou
70′M. RegilloS. Edougue
70′S. FankhauserN. Grognuz
70′F. LentiniM. Miguel
72′P. Ambrose
75′F. HysenajC. Betoubam
84′P. Ambrose
84′L. MulajN. Gunnarsson
89′L. Ribeiro

Colovray Sports Centre, NyonReferee: J. Brunner

Stade Nyonnais 27%
Draw 25%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStade NyonnaisDrawNeuchatel Xamax FC
Model27.2%25.2%47.5%
Market26.3%24.6%49.2%
Final26.5%24.7%48.7%
Edge+1.0%+0.7%-1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Neuchatel Xamax FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.32.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stade Nyonnais ↓ / Neuchatel Xama → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Stade Nyonnais and Neuchatel Xamax FC expected goals

Stade Nyonnais 1.32
Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.11

Stade Nyonnais and Neuchatel Xamax FC attack and defence ratings

Stade Nyonnais

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: result vs prediction

Stade Nyonnais 1 – 3 Neuchatel Xamax FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Neuchatel Xamax FC 48.7% 2.05 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.0% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.5% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stade Nyonnais26.5%
Draw24.7%
Neuchatel Xamax FC48.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.0%
Under 2.540.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.0%
No38.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.3%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)73.5%
Handicap -1Neuchatel Xamax FC win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss52.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
1-29.4%
0-27.2%

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC stats

Stade Nyonnais and Neuchatel Xamax FC recent form

newest first
Stade Nyonnais LDLDWL
Neuchatel Xamax FC LLLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stade Nyonnais and Neuchatel Xamax FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stade Nyonnais record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Neuchatel Xamax FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Stade Nyonnais wins 4Draws 4Neuchatel Xamax FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-10Neuchatel Xamax FCStade NyonnaisChallenge League4-1
2026-03-06Stade NyonnaisNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League0-0
2025-12-19Stade NyonnaisNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League1-1
2025-12-02Stade NyonnaisNeuchatel Xamax FCSchweizer Cup1-1
2025-07-25Neuchatel Xamax FCStade NyonnaisChallenge League1-1
2025-05-16Stade NyonnaisNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League1-3
2025-03-16Neuchatel Xamax FCStade NyonnaisChallenge League4-0
2025-01-17Neuchatel Xamax FCStade NyonnaisFriendlies Clubs1-2
2024-12-06Stade NyonnaisNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League2-1
2024-09-23Neuchatel Xamax FCStade NyonnaisChallenge League3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.8%, draw 24.6%, away 48.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.35 3.60 1.90
1xBet 3.50 3.62 1.86
888Sport 3.40 3.50 1.85
Bet365 3.40 3.80 1.85
BetVictor 3.50 3.90 1.87
Betano 3.40 3.70 1.93
Betfair 3.30 3.80 1.85
Dafabet 3.50 3.75 1.93
Marathonbet 3.44 3.62 1.84
Pinnacle 3.65 3.91 1.92
SBO 3.01 3.25 1.89
Superbet 3.45 3.70 1.92
William Hill 3.30 3.50 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.47 ▼ -0.02
X 3.71 ▼ -0.01
2 1.85 ▲ +0.01

10 snapshots recorded, from .