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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900

4 – 0 Full time

19′M. Sartoretti
32′T. Bouchlarhem
36′N. Sutter
45′D. Kaiba
52′N. Sutter
57′N. SutterL. Hajrulahu
57′V. TrittenR. Dantas Fernandes
58′R. Dantas Fernandes
59′R. Freitas
63′B. KeitaM. Diarra
63′P. WeberX. Aliu
63′D. Kaiba
63′D. Kaiba
67′J. A. Tur
70′P. FischerU. Nwannah
74′R. FreitasA. Akinola
75′T. BouchlarhemJ. Nkama
75′C. SowJ. Carrasco
82′L. SchreiberT. Seferovic
82′I. OkaforS. Correia

Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, LausanneReferee: L. Mauricio

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 65%
Draw 19%
FC WIL 1900 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStade Lausanne-OuchyDrawFC WIL 1900
Model76.0%14.7%9.3%
Market61.4%21.1%17.5%
Final65.0%19.5%15.5%
Edge+14.6%-6.3%-8.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.94 vs 1.01.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Stade Lausanne-Ouchy below the model: +14.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stade Lausanne ↓ / FC WIL 1900 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 8% 8% 3 8% 8% 4+ 12% 12% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC WIL 1900 expected goals

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.94
FC WIL 1900 1.01

Total expected goals: 3.94

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC WIL 1900 attack and defence ratings

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.67 -33%

FC WIL 1900

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900: result vs prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4 – 0 FC WIL 1900

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 65.0% 1.54 +14.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.4% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.7% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.5% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win 57.1% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy65.0%
Draw19.5%
FC WIL 190015.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.4%
Under 2.524.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.7%
No39.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.5%
12 (either side)80.5%
X2 (draw or away)35.0%
Handicap -1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win57.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss24.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
2-08.4%
3-18.2%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900 stats

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC WIL 1900 recent form

newest first
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy WWDWWW
FC WIL 1900 DDDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and FC WIL 1900 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC WIL 1900 record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Stade Lausanne-Ouchy wins 5Draws 2FC WIL 1900 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC WIL 1900Challenge League0-2
2026-02-22FC WIL 1900Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League1-0
2025-11-29FC WIL 1900Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League0-0
2025-07-26Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC WIL 1900Challenge League1-1
2025-05-16FC WIL 1900Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League0-2
2025-02-28Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC WIL 1900Challenge League2-1
2024-10-05FC WIL 1900Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League2-2
2024-09-20Stade Lausanne-OuchyFC WIL 1900Challenge League0-0
2023-09-15FC WIL 1900Stade Lausanne-OuchySchweizer Cup1-1
2023-04-28FC WIL 1900Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC WIL 1900 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.9%, draw 21.0%, away 18.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.50 4.33 4.80
1xBet 1.47 4.33 5.32
888Sport 1.44 4.20 5.00
Bet365 1.50 4.20 5.00
BetVictor 1.50 4.50 5.25
Betano 1.53 4.50 4.90
Betfair 1.40 4.60 5.50
Dafabet 1.52 4.60 5.00
Marathonbet 1.46 4.33 5.15
Pinnacle 1.50 4.62 5.85
SBO 1.45 3.98 4.44
Superbet 1.52 4.50 4.90
Unibet 1.48 4.20 4.90
William Hill 1.44 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.48 ▲ +0.01
X 4.33 ▲ +0.03
2 5.20 ▲ +0.07

14 snapshots recorded, from .