Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 8

FC Aarau vs SC Kriens

2 – 2 Full time

11′A. Krasniqi
12′L. Obexer
19′A. Krasniqi
36′A. Krasniqi
46′V. Petit-VirettiD. Coric
46′M. Fah
65′I. AliuZ. Tairi
65′M. GuindoS. Vladi
72′M. Willimann
74′S. Vladi
75′N. SiegristA. Willimann
75′B. MulliqiL. Riedmann
77′L. ObexerB. Senyurt
84′A. KrasniqiC. Wicht
86′K. NdauA. Beka Beka

Referee: J. Jaussi

FC Aarau 54%
Draw 23%
SC Kriens 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Aarau vs SC Kriens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Aarau vs SC Kriens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC AarauDrawSC Kriens
Model47.5%25.1%27.4%
Market56.5%21.9%21.6%
Final54.2%22.7%23.1%
Edge-8.9%+3.2%+5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Aarau

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.34.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Aarau ↓ / SC Kriens → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

FC Aarau and SC Kriens expected goals

FC Aarau 1.81
SC Kriens 1.34

Total expected goals: 3.15

FC Aarau and SC Kriens attack and defence ratings

FC Aarau

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.08 +8%

SC Kriens

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Aarau vs SC Kriens: result vs prediction

FC Aarau 2 – 2 SC Kriens

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

FC Aarau vs SC Kriens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Aarau 54.2% 1.84 -8.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.7% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.5% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Aarau54.2%
Draw22.7%
SC Kriens23.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.9%
Under 2.539.1%
Both teams to scoreYes62.7%
No37.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.9%
12 (either side)77.3%
X2 (draw or away)45.8%
Handicap -1FC Aarau win26.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss52.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-19.4%
2-07.0%

FC Aarau vs SC Kriens stats

FC Aarau and SC Kriens recent form

newest first
FC Aarau WDWLDW
SC Kriens LDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Aarau and SC Kriens going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Aarau record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SC Kriens record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

FC Aarau vs SC Kriens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6FC Aarau wins 4Draws 0SC Kriens wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-06-29FC AarauSC KriensFriendlies Clubs3-3
2022-06-25FC AarauSC KriensFriendlies Clubs3-1
2022-04-23FC AarauSC KriensChallenge League3-2
2022-02-19SC KriensFC AarauChallenge League0-5
2021-12-14SC KriensFC AarauChallenge League1-2
2021-10-03FC AarauSC KriensChallenge League0-0
2021-05-11FC AarauSC KriensChallenge League4-0
2021-02-05SC KriensFC AarauChallenge League0-0
2020-12-15SC KriensFC AarauChallenge League1-3
2020-11-03FC AarauSC KriensChallenge League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Aarau vs SC Kriens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.5%, draw 21.9%, away 21.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.61 4.15 4.20
Bet365 1.60 4.00 4.33
BetVictor 1.65 4.20 4.20
Betano 1.70 4.05 4.10
Betfair 1.60 4.20 4.20
Marathonbet 1.59 4.15 4.15
Pinnacle 1.67 4.56 4.22
SBO 1.60 3.80 3.84
William Hill 1.65 4.00 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.61 ▼ -0.07
X 4.15 ▼ -0.15
2 4.20 ▲ +0.15

13 snapshots recorded, from .