Étoile Carouge
vs
FC Winterthur
0 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | F. Rohner | ||
| 53′ | T. Golliard | ||
| 58′ | S. Camara | ||
| 62′ | L. EssienaS. Bossiwa | ||
| 69′ | A. MarchesanoS. Ottiger | ||
| 69′ | Ricardo AlvesB. Cespedes | ||
| 69′ | B. CasleiO. Correia | ||
| 81′ | L. ZukaF. Hoxha | ||
| 81′ | N. BoulkousM. El Jaouhari | ||
| 82′ | E. MaluvunuS. Diaby | ||
| 82′ | B. BeyerR. Buess | ||
| 82′ | F. RohnerA. Turkes | ||
| 90′ | S. CamaraL. Maksutaj | ||
| 90′ | A. Turkes |
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur
| Probability | Étoile Carouge | Draw | FC Winterthur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.3% | 26.7% | 43.1% |
| Market | 31.5% | 25.0% | 43.5% |
| Final | 31.2% | 25.4% | 43.4% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +1.7% | -0.4% |
Why FC Winterthur
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Étoile Carouge and FC Winterthur expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Étoile Carouge and FC Winterthur attack and defence ratings
Étoile Carouge
FC Winterthur
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur: result vs prediction
Étoile Carouge 0 – 1 FC Winterthur
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Winterthur | 43.4% | 2.31 | -0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Étoile Carouge | 31.2% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| FC Winterthur | 43.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Winterthur win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 7.5% |
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur stats
Étoile Carouge and FC Winterthur recent form
| Étoile Carouge |
DLWDWL |
| FC Winterthur |
WDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Étoile Carouge and FC Winterthur going into this match
Étoile Carouge record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Winterthur record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-18 | Étoile Carouge | FC Winterthur | Schweizer Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 25.6%, away 38.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.93 | 3.54 | 2.10 |
| 888Sport | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.54 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 3.76 | 2.18 |
| SBO | 2.31 | 3.22 | 2.34 |
| Superbet | 2.52 | 3.45 | 2.55 |
| Unibet | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .