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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 7

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

4 – 0 Full time

13′N. Garcia
20′B. Beyer
23′L. Mulaj
30′T. Golliard
36′L. Zuffi
46′E. AbediniD. Carraco
46′N. GarciaL. Veya
62′N. GjorgjevI. Keita
64′F. RohnerS. Ottiger
64′L. ZuffiA. Jankewitz
69′L. SeydouxM. Dind
75′E. Maluvunu
76′Y. OdinL. Maksutaj
76′E. MaluvunuA. Turkes
78′P. AmbroseJ. De Donno
87′T. GolliardG. Foro
90′B. Beyer

Referee: L. Fahndrich

FC Winterthur 46%
Draw 25%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC WinterthurDrawNeuchatel Xamax FC
Model46.8%24.2%29.1%
Market45.5%24.7%29.8%
Final45.8%24.6%29.6%
Edge+1.2%-0.5%-0.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Winterthur

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.47.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Winterthur ↓ / Neuchatel Xama → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC expected goals

FC Winterthur 1.89
Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.47

Total expected goals: 3.36

FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC attack and defence ratings

FC Winterthur

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: result vs prediction

FC Winterthur 4 – 0 Neuchatel Xamax FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Winterthur 45.8% 2.18 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.4% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.4% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Winterthur45.8%
Draw24.6%
Neuchatel Xamax FC29.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.4%
Under 2.534.6%
Both teams to scoreYes66.4%
No33.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.4%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1FC Winterthur win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-19.1%
1-27.1%

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC stats

FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC recent form

newest first
FC Winterthur DDWWWL
Neuchatel Xamax FC LLLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Winterthur and Neuchatel Xamax FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Winterthur record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Neuchatel Xamax FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4FC Winterthur wins 3Draws 3Neuchatel Xamax FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-27FC WinterthurNeuchatel Xamax FCFriendlies Clubs2-1
2022-05-14FC WinterthurNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League3-1
2022-03-18Neuchatel Xamax FCFC WinterthurChallenge League0-0
2021-10-29Neuchatel Xamax FCFC WinterthurChallenge League1-1
2021-09-11FC WinterthurNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League2-1
2021-04-30FC WinterthurNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League0-1
2021-02-20Neuchatel Xamax FCFC WinterthurChallenge League3-1
2020-12-22Neuchatel Xamax FCFC WinterthurChallenge League2-0
2020-12-11FC WinterthurNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League4-0
2018-05-04Neuchatel Xamax FCFC WinterthurChallenge League3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 24.7%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.05 3.70 2.95
1xBet 1.96 3.68 3.16
Bet365 1.95 3.75 3.20
BetVictor 2.00 3.80 3.13
Betano 2.07 3.70 3.05
Betfair 1.95 3.80 3.00
Dafabet 2.08 3.75 3.10
Marathonbet 1.94 3.68 3.10
Pinnacle 2.03 3.93 3.28
SBO 2.02 3.21 2.76
Superbet 2.07 3.70 3.05
William Hill 2.00 3.50 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.01 ▼ -0.01
X 3.70 —
2 3.08 ▼ -0.02

6 snapshots recorded, from .