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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais

4 – 1 Full time

45′V. Tasar
46′A. ChappuisJ. Gnakpa
46′H. SessoloV. Fazliu
46′M. MiguelF. Hysenaj
46′F. LentiniS. Edougue
47′R. Philippin
53′J. Augustin
62′J. AugustinM. Kanoute
62′J. MayorgaE. Pasche
65′M. RegilloM. Ishuayed
65′L. RibeiroC. Betoubam
75′O. DoumbiaR. Golliard
78′V. Fazliu
79′T. DialloE. Ndjoko
90′V. Tasar

Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-BainsReferee: H. Sanli

Yverdon Sport 69%
Draw 18%
Stade Nyonnais 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYverdon SportDrawStade Nyonnais
Model78.6%14.2%7.2%
Market65.9%19.3%14.7%
Final69.1%18.1%12.8%
Edge+12.7%-5.1%-7.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Yverdon Sport

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Yverdon Sport below the model: +12.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yverdon Sport ↓ / Stade Nyonnais → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 11% 8% 3 10% 8% 4+ 14% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 3%

Yverdon Sport and Stade Nyonnais expected goals

Yverdon Sport 2.83
Stade Nyonnais 0.80

Total expected goals: 3.64

Yverdon Sport and Stade Nyonnais attack and defence ratings

Yverdon Sport

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Stade Nyonnais

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais: result vs prediction

Yverdon Sport 4 – 1 Stade Nyonnais

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yverdon Sport 69.1% 1.45 +12.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.3% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.5% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.2% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Yverdon Sport win 59.4% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yverdon Sport69.1%
Draw18.1%
Stade Nyonnais12.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.3%
Under 2.529.7%
Both teams to scoreYes52.5%
No47.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.2%
12 (either side)81.9%
X2 (draw or away)30.9%
Handicap -1Yverdon Sport win59.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss21.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.6%
3-010.0%
2-18.5%

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais stats

Yverdon Sport and Stade Nyonnais recent form

newest first
Yverdon Sport WDWWWD
Stade Nyonnais DLDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Yverdon Sport and Stade Nyonnais going into this match

league record before kick-off

Yverdon Sport record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stade Nyonnais record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Yverdon Sport wins 4Draws 1Stade Nyonnais wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06Stade NyonnaisYverdon SportChallenge League1-4
2026-02-13Yverdon SportStade NyonnaisChallenge League1-0
2025-10-24Stade NyonnaisYverdon SportChallenge League2-2
2025-09-28Yverdon SportStade NyonnaisChallenge League1-0
2024-01-16Yverdon SportStade NyonnaisFriendlies Clubs1-3
2021-06-12Yverdon SportStade Nyonnais1. Liga Promotion3-3
2020-09-30Stade NyonnaisYverdon Sport1. Liga Promotion1-1
2019-11-16Yverdon SportStade Nyonnais1. Liga Promotion1-1
2019-08-07Stade NyonnaisYverdon Sport1. Liga Promotion0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.8%, draw 19.4%, away 14.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.37 4.70 6.31
Bet365 1.40 4.75 6.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.75 6.50
Betano 1.42 4.70 6.20
Betfair 1.33 4.75 6.50
Dafabet 1.41 4.90 6.40
Marathonbet 1.36 4.70 6.10
Pinnacle 1.40 5.12 6.84
SBO 1.34 4.22 5.32
Superbet 1.40 4.80 6.00
William Hill 1.36 4.60 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.39 ▲ +0.01
X 4.72 ▼ -0.03
2 6.21 —

5 snapshots recorded, from .