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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport

1 – 2 Full time

3′V. Fazliu
14′A. Mossi
19′P. Ambrose
30′J. Mayorga
36′P. Ambrose
57′J. MayorgaL. Guignard
61′A. ChappuisO. Doumbia
61′M. KanouteJ. Augustin
66′M. DindL. Seydoux
66′L. VeyaI. Keita
72′B. DiomandeD. Carraco
72′P. AmbroseJ. De Donno
73′L. BittarelliV. Tasar
73′G. RichardR. Golliard
81′L. Pos
87′M. Camara
87′V. Fazliu
88′N. GjorgjevN. Gunnarsson
90′V. Tasar

Referee: M. Odiet

Neuchatel Xamax FC 34%
Draw 26%
Yverdon Sport 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNeuchatel Xamax FCDrawYverdon Sport
Model27.0%24.7%48.3%
Market35.9%26.2%37.9%
Final33.7%25.8%40.5%
Edge-8.9%-1.5%+10.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Yverdon Sport

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.35.
  • The market prices Yverdon Sport below the model: +10.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Neuchatel Xama ↓ / Yverdon Sport → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport expected goals

Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.35
Yverdon Sport 1.85

Total expected goals: 3.20

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport attack and defence ratings

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Yverdon Sport

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport: result vs prediction

Neuchatel Xamax FC 1 – 2 Yverdon Sport

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yverdon Sport 40.5% 2.47 +10.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.5% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Neuchatel Xamax FC33.7%
Draw25.8%
Yverdon Sport40.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%
Both teams to scoreYes63.5%
No36.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.5%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)66.3%
Handicap -1Yverdon Sport win27.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.4%
0-27.0%

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport stats

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport recent form

newest first
Neuchatel Xamax FC LLDWWW
Yverdon Sport DWWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport going into this match

league record before kick-off

Neuchatel Xamax FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Yverdon Sport record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Neuchatel Xamax FC wins 3Draws 7Yverdon Sport wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22Yverdon SportNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League2-2
2026-02-03Neuchatel Xamax FCYverdon SportSchweizer Cup1-2
2026-01-25Neuchatel Xamax FCYverdon SportChallenge League1-2
2025-11-07Neuchatel Xamax FCYverdon SportChallenge League2-2
2025-08-31Yverdon SportNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League3-1
2023-04-07Yverdon SportNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League2-0
2023-03-12Neuchatel Xamax FCYverdon SportChallenge League1-2
2022-11-25Yverdon SportNeuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League3-1
2022-08-05Neuchatel Xamax FCYverdon SportChallenge League2-3
2022-05-10Neuchatel Xamax FCYverdon SportChallenge League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Yverdon Sport odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 26.2%, away 37.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.55 3.50 2.35
1xBet 2.50 3.38 2.41
Bet365 2.62 3.50 2.45
BetVictor 2.55 3.60 2.45
Betano 2.62 3.50 2.42
Betfair 2.55 3.60 2.30
Dafabet 2.65 3.50 2.44
Marathonbet 2.54 3.38 2.38
Pinnacle 2.64 3.60 2.55
SBO 2.51 3.21 2.27
Superbet 2.67 3.40 2.42
William Hill 2.50 3.25 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.15
X 3.50 ▼ -0.25
2 2.42 ▲ +0.21

5 snapshots recorded, from .