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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 6

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau

2 – 2 Full time

5′M. Dickenmann
9′G. Muslija
11′S. Muller
54′Y. Allou
58′P. Weber
60′V. Petit-Viretti
65′D. AfriyieA. Beka Beka
65′I. AliuG. Furrer
67′D. Kaiba
72′L. BreedijkE. Bytyqi
72′Y. AllouB. Keita
78′D. Kaiba
78′D. Kaiba
78′M. GuindoZ. Tairi
85′P. WeberU. Nwannah
85′L. ObexerB. Senyurt
85′V. Petit-VirettiD. Coric
89′S. Muller
90′P. FischerT. Seferovic

Lidl Arena, WilReferee: M. Drmic

FC WIL 1900 30%
Draw 25%
FC Aarau 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC WIL 1900DrawFC Aarau
Model36.0%22.4%41.6%
Market27.7%26.5%45.8%
Final29.8%25.5%44.7%
Edge+8.3%-4.1%-4.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC WIL 1900 ↓ / FC Aarau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

FC WIL 1900 and FC Aarau expected goals

FC WIL 1900 1.89
FC Aarau 2.03

Total expected goals: 3.92

FC WIL 1900 and FC Aarau attack and defence ratings

FC WIL 1900

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.32 +32%

FC Aarau

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau: result vs prediction

FC WIL 1900 2 – 2 FC Aarau

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Aarau 44.7% 2.24 -4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.9% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.5% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC WIL 190029.8%
Draw25.5%
FC Aarau44.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.9%
Under 2.525.1%
Both teams to scoreYes74.5%
No25.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.3%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)70.2%
Handicap -1FC Aarau win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.4%
1-27.7%
2-27.3%

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau stats

FC WIL 1900 and FC Aarau recent form

newest first
FC WIL 1900 DLWLLW
FC Aarau WLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC WIL 1900 and FC Aarau going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC WIL 1900 record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

FC Aarau record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FC WIL 1900 wins 6Draws 2FC Aarau wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25FC WIL 1900FC AarauChallenge League2-2
2026-02-07FC AarauFC WIL 1900Challenge League2-2
2025-10-24FC AarauFC WIL 1900Challenge League2-0
2025-08-01FC WIL 1900FC AarauChallenge League1-3
2025-05-09FC AarauFC WIL 1900Challenge League2-4
2025-03-16FC WIL 1900FC AarauChallenge League2-2
2024-11-24FC AarauFC WIL 1900Challenge League1-1
2024-07-26FC WIL 1900FC AarauChallenge League2-2
2024-05-17FC AarauFC WIL 1900Challenge League0-4
2024-02-23FC WIL 1900FC AarauChallenge League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC WIL 1900 vs FC Aarau odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 26.5%, away 45.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.45 2.00
1xBet 3.36 3.40 1.97
Bet365 3.30 3.50 2.05
BetVictor 3.30 3.60 2.00
Betano 3.25 3.40 2.10
Betfair 3.25 3.50 1.95
Dafabet 3.30 3.45 2.09
Marathonbet 3.30 3.40 1.95
Pinnacle 3.51 3.62 2.04
SBO 2.90 3.09 2.08
Superbet 3.25 3.45 2.07
Unibet 3.30 3.35 1.94
William Hill 3.20 3.25 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▲ +0.10
X 3.45 ▼ -0.12
2 2.00 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .