Garuda Lions
Today
Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 7

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil

3 – 2 Full time

20′N. Mupemba
31′V. Petit-Viretti
42′A. BakayokoS. Diarrassouba
46′A. Beka BekaZ. Tairi
53′D. Afriyie
56′E. Senaya
61′E. SenayaR. Pousa
63′L. Ndema
68′L. ObexerB. Senyurt
68′V. Petit-VirettiD. Coric
74′V. Hamdiu
74′M. GuindoS. Vladi
76′L. Emini
76′N. MupembaE. Rossier
76′V. HamdiuM. Deme
79′Y. RyterA. Charveys
81′A. Charveys
84′L. Ndema
84′M. DickenmannG. Furrer
87′S. Vladi

Referee: M. Drmic

FC Aarau 54%
Draw 22%
Rapperswil 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Aarau vs Rapperswil

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC AarauDrawRapperswil
Model46.7%22.3%31.1%
Market56.8%21.9%21.3%
Final54.3%22.0%23.7%
Edge-10.2%+0.4%+9.8%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Aarau

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.73.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Aarau ↓ / Rapperswil → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

FC Aarau and Rapperswil expected goals

FC Aarau 2.13
Rapperswil 1.73

Total expected goals: 3.86

FC Aarau and Rapperswil attack and defence ratings

FC Aarau

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Rapperswil

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil: result vs prediction

FC Aarau 3 – 2 Rapperswil

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Aarau 54.3% 1.84 -10.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.3% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.3% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Aarau54.3%
Draw22.0%
Rapperswil23.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.1%
Under 2.525.9%
Both teams to scoreYes73.3%
No26.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.3%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)45.7%
Handicap -1FC Aarau win27.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss53.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.5%
2-18.3%
2-27.2%

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil stats

FC Aarau and Rapperswil recent form

newest first
FC Aarau DWLDWD
Rapperswil DLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Aarau and Rapperswil going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Aarau record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapperswil record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

8FC Aarau wins 0Draws 1Rapperswil wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04RapperswilFC AarauChallenge League4-5
2026-02-27FC AarauRapperswilChallenge League5-3
2025-11-01FC AarauRapperswilChallenge League2-1
2025-08-29RapperswilFC AarauChallenge League0-1
2021-06-30RapperswilFC AarauFriendlies Clubs2-1
2020-03-11RapperswilFC AarauFriendlies Clubs0-3
2019-05-26FC AarauRapperswilChallenge League1-0
2019-02-09RapperswilFC AarauChallenge League1-2
2018-11-11FC AarauRapperswilChallenge League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Aarau vs Rapperswil odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.8%, draw 21.9%, away 21.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.60 4.20 4.33
1xBet 1.59 4.10 4.40
Bet365 1.62 4.00 4.50
BetVictor 1.62 4.33 4.33
Betano 1.65 4.25 4.25
Betfair 1.57 4.20 4.33
Dafabet 1.63 4.40 4.40
Marathonbet 1.56 4.15 4.40
Pinnacle 1.65 4.47 4.45
SBO 1.55 3.80 3.85
Superbet 1.62 4.25 4.30
Unibet 1.60 4.00 4.10
William Hill 1.62 3.90 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▲ +0.03
X 4.20 ▼ -0.20
2 4.33 ▼ -0.10

6 snapshots recorded, from .