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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900

1 – 1 Full time

25′Itaitinga
46′Y. AllouB. Keita
56′I. Okafor
60′O. CorreiaO. Sene
67′L. BreedijkE. Bytyqi
70′D. NevesN. Boulkous
70′T. EscorzaRicardo Alves
73′I. Okafor
85′P. FischerX. Aliu
87′Y. Schmid

Stade de la Fontenette, CarougeReferee: L. Schelbli

Étoile Carouge 52%
Draw 24%
FC WIL 1900 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÉtoile CarougeDrawFC WIL 1900
Model47.8%23.9%28.3%
Market53.5%23.7%22.8%
Final52.1%23.7%24.1%
Edge-5.7%+0.2%+5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Étoile Carouge

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.47.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Étoile Carouge ↓ / FC WIL 1900 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 expected goals

Étoile Carouge 1.94
FC WIL 1900 1.47

Total expected goals: 3.41

Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 attack and defence ratings

Étoile Carouge

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.89 -11%

FC WIL 1900

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900: result vs prediction

Étoile Carouge 1 – 1 FC WIL 1900

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Étoile Carouge 52.1% 1.92 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.3% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.9% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.3% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Étoile Carouge52.1%
Draw23.7%
FC WIL 190024.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.3%
Under 2.533.7%
Both teams to scoreYes66.9%
No33.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)47.9%
Handicap -1Étoile Carouge win27.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss52.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-19.1%
1-26.9%

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 stats

Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 recent form

newest first
Étoile Carouge LWDWLD
FC WIL 1900 DDLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Étoile Carouge record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC WIL 1900 record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Étoile Carouge wins 3Draws 2FC WIL 1900 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17Étoile CarougeFC WIL 1900Challenge League2-0
2026-03-22FC WIL 1900Étoile CarougeChallenge League1-3
2025-12-05Étoile CarougeFC WIL 1900Challenge League0-0
2025-08-08FC WIL 1900Étoile CarougeChallenge League1-0
2025-04-13FC WIL 1900Étoile CarougeChallenge League2-2
2025-01-24Étoile CarougeFC WIL 1900Challenge League1-1
2024-11-30FC WIL 1900Étoile CarougeChallenge League2-1
2024-08-30Étoile CarougeFC WIL 1900Challenge League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.5%, draw 23.7%, away 22.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.73 3.75 3.95
1xBet 1.68 3.84 4.11
Bet365 1.67 3.80 4.10
BetVictor 1.70 3.90 4.20
Betano 1.80 3.80 3.85
Betfair 1.67 3.90 4.00
Dafabet 1.78 3.85 4.00
Marathonbet 1.66 3.84 4.05
Pinnacle 1.74 4.17 4.21
SBO 1.70 3.38 3.52
Superbet 1.71 3.90 4.10
Unibet 1.64 3.85 4.00
William Hill 1.70 3.75 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 —
X 3.84 ▼ -0.11
2 4.00 ▼ -0.13

6 snapshots recorded, from .