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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge

3 – 0 Full time

21′V. Tritten
22′F. Hoxha
44′N. Boulkous
45′M. Sartoretti
46′S. BossiwaO. Correia
60′J. NkamaR. Freitas
60′Ricardo AlvesS. Camara
60′L. EssienaT. Escorza
72′R. Freitas
74′T. Bouchlarhem
74′M. El JaouhariB. Cespedes
75′T. BouchlarhemB. Conus
75′V. TrittenH. Lukembila
75′M. SartorettiJ. Atangana
80′ItaitingaE. Januario
86′O. Correia
86′T. BarbetJ. Carrasco
89′J. Atangana
90′J. Carrasco

Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, LausanneReferee: J. Jaussi

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 54%
Draw 25%
Étoile Carouge 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStade Lausanne-OuchyDrawÉtoile Carouge
Model51.2%26.3%22.5%
Market55.1%24.1%20.8%
Final54.1%24.6%21.2%
Edge-3.9%+2.2%+1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.06.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stade Lausanne ↓ / Étoile Carouge → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge expected goals

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.70
Étoile Carouge 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.77

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge attack and defence ratings

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Étoile Carouge

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge: result vs prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 – 0 Étoile Carouge

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 54.1% 1.85 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy54.1%
Draw24.6%
Étoile Carouge21.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.3%
Under 2.547.7%
Both teams to scoreYes54.7%
No45.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.8%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)45.9%
Handicap -1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win28.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss48.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-19.7%
1-09.6%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge stats

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge recent form

newest first
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy DWWWDW
Étoile Carouge WDWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Étoile Carouge going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Étoile Carouge record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Stade Lausanne-Ouchy wins 2Draws 2Étoile Carouge wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-10Étoile CarougeStade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League1-1
2026-02-28Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile CarougeChallenge League0-1
2025-12-19Étoile CarougeStade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League1-2
2025-08-30Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile CarougeChallenge League2-0
2025-05-02Étoile CarougeStade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League1-2
2025-01-31Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile CarougeChallenge League1-0
2024-10-25Étoile CarougeStade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League1-1
2024-09-27Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile CarougeChallenge League5-1
2024-06-29Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile CarougeFriendlies Clubs2-3
2022-07-09Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile CarougeFriendlies Clubs7-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 24.1%, away 20.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.65 3.80 4.33
1xBet 1.66 3.50 4.73
Bet365 1.70 3.70 4.50
BetVictor 1.67 4.00 4.33
Betano 1.67 3.70 4.70
Betfair 1.62 3.80 4.40
Dafabet 1.69 3.90 4.50
Marathonbet 1.64 3.50 4.65
Pinnacle 1.70 3.66 5.18
SBO 1.62 3.64 3.90
Superbet 1.68 3.85 4.35
Unibet 1.58 4.00 4.20
William Hill 1.65 3.80 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.66 ▲ +0.09
X 3.80 ▼ -0.38
2 4.40 —

5 snapshots recorded, from .