Étoile Carouge
vs
Rapperswil
2 – 1 Full time
Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil
| Probability | Étoile Carouge | Draw | Rapperswil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.2% | 24.1% | 27.8% |
| Market | 47.9% | 24.7% | 27.3% |
| Final | 48.0% | 24.6% | 27.4% |
| Edge | +0.3% | -0.7% | +0.4% |
Why Étoile Carouge
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.43.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.36
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil attack and defence ratings
Étoile Carouge
Rapperswil
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil: result vs prediction
Étoile Carouge 2 – 1 Rapperswil
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Étoile Carouge | 48.0% | 2.08 | +0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Étoile Carouge | 48.0% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Rapperswil | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Étoile Carouge win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 6.9% |
Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil stats
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil recent form
| Étoile Carouge |
DWLDWD |
| Rapperswil |
LWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil going into this match
Étoile Carouge record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapperswil record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Rapperswil | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Étoile Carouge | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Étoile Carouge | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-25 | Rapperswil | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-18 | Rapperswil | Étoile Carouge | 1. Liga Promotion | 3-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Étoile Carouge | Rapperswil | 1. Liga Promotion | 1-0 |
| 2022-11-26 | Rapperswil | Étoile Carouge | 1. Liga Promotion | 0-3 |
| 2022-08-06 | Étoile Carouge | Rapperswil | 1. Liga Promotion | 3-0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Étoile Carouge | Rapperswil | 1. Liga Promotion | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Rapperswil | Étoile Carouge | 1. Liga Promotion | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 24.7%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.58 | 3.51 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.58 | 3.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.79 | 3.58 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.25 | 2.81 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 1.91 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .