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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900

1 – 1 Full time

Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-BainsReferee: J. Jaussi

Yverdon Sport 60%
Draw 21%
FC WIL 1900 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYverdon SportDrawFC WIL 1900
Model73.4%14.2%12.3%
Market55.3%23.4%21.2%
Final59.9%21.1%19.0%
Edge+18.1%-9.2%-8.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Yverdon Sport

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.30 vs 1.41.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Yverdon Sport below the model: +18.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yverdon Sport ↓ / FC WIL 1900 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 8% 4+ 10% 14% 10%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 85%
No goals 1%

Yverdon Sport and FC WIL 1900 expected goals

Yverdon Sport 3.30
FC WIL 1900 1.41

Total expected goals: 4.71

Yverdon Sport and FC WIL 1900 attack and defence ratings

Yverdon Sport

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.82 -18%

FC WIL 1900

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900: result vs prediction

Yverdon Sport 1 – 1 FC WIL 1900

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yverdon Sport 59.9% 1.67 +18.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84.9% 1.18 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.3% 1.36 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.0% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Yverdon Sport win 55.9% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yverdon Sport59.9%
Draw21.1%
FC WIL 190019.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584.9%
Under 2.515.1%
Both teams to scoreYes73.3%
No26.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.0%
12 (either side)78.9%
X2 (draw or away)40.1%
Handicap -1Yverdon Sport win55.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss26.6%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.6%
2-16.9%
4-16.3%

Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900 stats

Yverdon Sport and FC WIL 1900 recent form

newest first
Yverdon Sport WWWDDD
FC WIL 1900 LWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Yverdon Sport and FC WIL 1900 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Yverdon Sport record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC WIL 1900 record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Yverdon Sport wins 4Draws 2FC WIL 1900 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-08FC WIL 1900Yverdon SportChallenge League0-1
2026-03-13Yverdon SportFC WIL 1900Challenge League0-0
2025-11-21FC WIL 1900Yverdon SportChallenge League2-4
2025-08-22Yverdon SportFC WIL 1900Challenge League4-0
2023-05-27FC WIL 1900Yverdon SportChallenge League0-2
2023-03-03Yverdon SportFC WIL 1900Challenge League1-1
2022-10-08FC WIL 1900Yverdon SportChallenge League4-0
2022-08-12Yverdon SportFC WIL 1900Challenge League1-3
2022-04-30FC WIL 1900Yverdon SportChallenge League2-2
2022-03-04Yverdon SportFC WIL 1900Challenge League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.3%, draw 23.4%, away 21.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.64 3.85 4.33
1xBet 1.64 3.90 4.31
Bet365 1.67 4.20 4.33
BetVictor 1.67 4.00 4.33
Betano 1.70 3.90 4.30
Betfair 1.62 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.70 4.00 4.30
Marathonbet 1.62 3.90 4.25
Pinnacle 1.68 4.11 4.33
SBO 1.60 3.58 3.80
Superbet 1.70 3.90 4.15
Unibet 1.65 3.70 4.10
William Hill 1.65 3.75 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▼ -0.01
X 3.90 ▼ -0.10
2 4.30 ▲ +0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .