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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur

2 – 2 Full time

3′E. Maluvunu
6′N. Grognuz
20′A. Marchesano
22′M. Miguel
24′F. Ahuissou
37′E. Akichi
44′E. Maluvunu
45′S. Diaby
51′A. Marchesano
51′A. Marchesano
58′E. GashiR. Philippin
58′N. GrognuzL. Ribeiro
58′M. MiguelC. Betoubam
60′F. Lentini
65′E. MaluvunuF. Rohner
65′T. GolliardB. Beyer
71′F. AhuissouJ. Mandaka
76′E. AkichiE. Ndjoko
81′S. OttigerA. Jankewitz
81′R. BuessL. Maksutaj
88′B. Alili

Colovray Sports Centre, NyonReferee: D. Anex

Stade Nyonnais 21%
Draw 23%
FC Winterthur 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStade NyonnaisDrawFC Winterthur
Model16.6%21.9%61.5%
Market22.4%23.3%54.3%
Final20.9%22.9%56.1%
Edge-5.8%-1.3%+7.1%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Winterthur

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Winterthur below the model: +7.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stade Nyonnais ↓ / FC Winterthur → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 8% 10% 7% 6% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Stade Nyonnais and FC Winterthur expected goals

Stade Nyonnais 1.04
FC Winterthur 2.14

Total expected goals: 3.17

Stade Nyonnais and FC Winterthur attack and defence ratings

Stade Nyonnais

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 1.32 +32%

FC Winterthur

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur: result vs prediction

Stade Nyonnais 2 – 2 FC Winterthur

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Winterthur 56.1% 1.78 +7.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 FC Winterthur win 39.2% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stade Nyonnais20.9%
Draw22.9%
FC Winterthur56.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes57.9%
No42.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.9%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)79.1%
Handicap -1FC Winterthur win39.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss38.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
1-29.9%
0-29.5%

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur stats

Stade Nyonnais and FC Winterthur recent form

newest first
Stade Nyonnais LDWLLL
FC Winterthur DWWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stade Nyonnais and FC Winterthur going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stade Nyonnais record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

FC Winterthur record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Winterthur odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.4%, draw 23.3%, away 54.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.90 4.00 1.68
1xBet 4.06 3.88 1.68
Bet365 4.20 3.90 1.75
BetVictor 4.10 4.00 1.70
Betano 4.15 3.95 1.70
Betfair 4.00 4.20 1.65
Dafabet 4.20 4.10 1.70
Marathonbet 4.00 3.88 1.66
Pinnacle 4.11 4.17 1.75
SBO 3.81 3.72 1.62
Superbet 4.10 4.00 1.69
Unibet 4.40 3.60 1.62
William Hill 4.00 3.75 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.10 ▼ -0.22
X 3.95 ▼ -0.20
2 1.69 ▲ +0.07

3 snapshots recorded, from .