Garuda Lions
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Challenge League · Full time ·Matchday 9

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge

4 – 1 Full time

1′E. Rufener
17′Itaitinga
21′A. Krasniqi
23′A. Krasniqi
23′S. Camara
45′N. Siegrist
46′F. HoxhaM. Tsoungui
56′M. Dubosson
58′M. Ishuayed
59′M. Fah
60′L. EssienaT. Escorza
60′S. CamaraS. Bossiwa
71′N. SiegristL. Riedmann
71′A. KrasniqiC. Wicht
79′M. IshuayedL. Maksutaj
82′N. BoulkousM. El Jaouhari
82′M. DubossonG. Zrankeon
85′M. WillimannB. Mulliqi
90′K. Trondle

Stadion Kleinfeld, KriensReferee: H. Sanli

SC Kriens 39%
Draw 26%
Étoile Carouge 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySC KriensDrawÉtoile Carouge
Model41.9%30.1%28.0%
Market37.6%24.7%37.6%
Final38.7%26.1%35.2%
Edge+4.3%+5.4%-9.7%

Confidence: Low

Why SC Kriens

  • The market prices SC Kriens below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SC Kriens ↓ / Étoile Carouge → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge expected goals

SC Kriens 1.33
Étoile Carouge 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.37

SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge attack and defence ratings

SC Kriens

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Étoile Carouge

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge: result vs prediction

SC Kriens 4 – 1 Étoile Carouge

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SC Kriens 38.7% 2.58 +4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SC Kriens38.7%
Draw26.1%
Étoile Carouge35.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes48.8%
No51.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.8%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.3%
Handicap -1SC Kriens win20.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-011.2%
0-010.7%

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge stats

SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge recent form

newest first
SC Kriens DLDWWL
Étoile Carouge LDLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SC Kriens and Étoile Carouge going into this match

league record before kick-off

SC Kriens record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Étoile Carouge record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2SC Kriens wins 0Draws 2Étoile Carouge wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-03-09SC KriensÉtoile Carouge1. Liga Promotion1-3
2023-09-03Étoile CarougeSC Kriens1. Liga Promotion4-0
2023-04-15SC KriensÉtoile Carouge1. Liga Promotion2-0
2022-10-08Étoile CarougeSC Kriens1. Liga Promotion0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SC Kriens vs Étoile Carouge odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 24.7%, away 37.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.38 3.62 2.38
Bet365 2.45 3.75 2.45
BetVictor 2.45 3.70 2.50
Betano 2.47 3.65 2.50
Betfair 2.40 3.80 2.38
Marathonbet 2.38 3.62 2.38
Pinnacle 2.50 4.00 2.49
SBO 2.35 3.30 2.36
William Hill 2.40 3.60 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.10
X 3.65 ▼ -0.09
2 2.40 ▼ -0.06

12 snapshots recorded, from .