Étoile Carouge
vs
Yverdon Sport
0 – 2 Full time
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport
| Probability | Étoile Carouge | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.0% | 26.4% | 53.5% |
| Market | 26.5% | 24.8% | 48.7% |
| Final | 24.9% | 25.2% | 49.9% |
| Edge | -6.4% | +1.6% | +4.8% |
Why Yverdon Sport
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Yverdon Sport below the model: +4.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Étoile Carouge and Yverdon Sport expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Étoile Carouge and Yverdon Sport attack and defence ratings
Étoile Carouge
Yverdon Sport
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport: result vs prediction
Étoile Carouge 0 – 2 Yverdon Sport
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yverdon Sport | 49.9% | 2.00 | +4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Étoile Carouge | 24.9% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Yverdon Sport | 49.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yverdon Sport win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 46.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 0-1 | 10.9% | |
| 0-2 | 10.2% |
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport stats
Étoile Carouge and Yverdon Sport recent form
| Étoile Carouge |
LLDLWD |
| Yverdon Sport |
DLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Étoile Carouge and Yverdon Sport going into this match
Étoile Carouge record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Yverdon Sport record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Yverdon Sport | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Yverdon Sport | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 3-5 |
| 2026-02-20 | Étoile Carouge | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Yverdon Sport | Étoile Carouge | Challenge League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Étoile Carouge | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League | 2-1 |
| 2021-06-05 | Étoile Carouge | Yverdon Sport | 1. Liga Promotion | 2-0 |
| 2020-09-05 | Yverdon Sport | Étoile Carouge | 1. Liga Promotion | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 24.8%, away 48.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.63 | 3.68 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.65 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.65 | 2.02 |
| Marathonbet | 3.55 | 3.68 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 3.55 | 3.91 | 1.94 |
| SBO | 3.07 | 3.28 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .