Rapperswil
vs
FC ST. Gallen
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC ST. Gallen
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen
| Probability | Rapperswil | Draw | FC ST. Gallen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.2% | 18.5% | 70.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 11.2% | 18.5% | 70.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC ST. Gallen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 0.81.
Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen match preview
In the upcoming Schweizer Cup match, Rapperswil faces FC ST. Gallen with a kickoff scheduled for October 16, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a significant advantage for FC ST. Gallen, with a 70% likelihood of victory compared to Rapperswil's 11%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.89 for Rapperswil and 2.42 for FC ST. Gallen.
Recent form shows Rapperswil with two wins, one draw, and three losses, while FC ST. Gallen has a mixed record of two wins and four losses in their last six matches. The probabilities suggest a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rapperswil and FC ST. Gallen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Rapperswil and FC ST. Gallen attack and defence ratings
Rapperswil
FC ST. Gallen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC ST. Gallen | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC ST. Gallen win | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapperswil | 11.2% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| FC ST. Gallen | 70.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% |
| No | 45.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC ST. Gallen win | 55.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 24.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 1-1 | 8.7% |
Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen stats
Rapperswil and FC ST. Gallen recent form
| Rapperswil |
LWWLDL |
| FC ST. Gallen |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | Rapperswil | FC ST. Gallen | Schweizer Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.