FC ST. Gallen
vs
Lausanne
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC ST. Gallen
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne
| Probability | FC ST. Gallen | Draw | Lausanne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.9% | 23.8% | 25.3% |
| Market | 60.8% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| Final | 58.3% | 21.4% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -9.9% | +3.2% | +6.7% |
Why FC ST. Gallen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne match preview
FC St. Gallen will face Lausanne in the Switzerland Super League on October 11, 2026. The model gives FC St. Gallen a 51% chance of winning, while Lausanne has a 25% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from FC St. Gallen at 1.97 compared to Lausanne's 1.35. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, FC St. Gallen has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Lausanne has struggled significantly, with five losses and one draw in their last six outings. Historically, FC St. Gallen has performed well against Lausanne, winning two of their last three encounters and drawing one, with Lausanne yet to secure a win in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC ST. Gallen and Lausanne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
FC ST. Gallen and Lausanne attack and defence ratings
FC ST. Gallen
Lausanne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC ST. Gallen | 58.3% | 1.72 | -9.9% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC ST. Gallen | 58.3% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Lausanne | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC ST. Gallen win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne stats
FC ST. Gallen and Lausanne recent form
| FC ST. Gallen |
WLLWLL |
| Lausanne |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC ST. Gallen and Lausanne season so far
FC ST. Gallen record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Lausanne record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Lausanne | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC ST. Gallen | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Lausanne | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.8%, draw 20.7%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.60 | 4.92 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.56 | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.74 | 5.06 |
| SBO | 1.47 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .