FC Zurich
vs
FC Thun
4 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Simon Lengen | ||
| 30′ | Kevin Spadanuda | ||
| 37′ | Bledian Krasniqi | ||
| 40′ | A. Ilic | ||
| 56′ | Simon Lengen | ||
| 57′ | Simon LengenNoah Christoffersson | ||
| 57′ | A. IlicNils·Reichmuth | ||
| 64′ | Doron Lichtenstein | ||
| 67′ | Jan Bamert | ||
| 73′ | Furkan DursunRiccardo Braschi | ||
| 73′ | Nico MaierDorian Derbaci | ||
| 77′ | Philippe Paulin Keny | ||
| 78′ | Miguel ReichmuthNevio Emanuele Di Giusto | ||
| 82′ | Nassim ZoukitLouis Immanuel Passavant | ||
| 85′ | Philippe Paulin KenyDin Ramić | ||
| 85′ | Bledian KrasniqiJill Stiel | ||
| 85′ | Kevin SpadanudaMohamed Bangoura | ||
| 87′ | Leandro SchödlerJorge Segura | ||
| 90′ | Dorian Derbaci |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 369 | Accurate passes | 157 |
FC Zurich vs FC Thun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Zurich vs FC Thun
| Probability | FC Zurich | Draw | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.1% | 21.9% | 35.0% |
| Market | 35.6% | 24.1% | 40.3% |
| Final | 37.5% | 23.5% | 39.0% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -0.6% | -1.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Zurich and FC Thun expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.06
FC Zurich and FC Thun attack and defence ratings
FC Zurich
FC Thun
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Zurich vs FC Thun: result vs prediction
FC Zurich 4 – 2 FC Thun
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Zurich vs FC Thun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Thun | 39.0% | 2.57 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Zurich | 37.5% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| FC Thun | 39.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.0% |
| No | 24.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Thun win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
FC Zurich vs FC Thun stats
FC Zurich and FC Thun recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Zurich and FC Thun going into this match
FC Zurich record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
FC Thun record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
FC Zurich vs FC Thun head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | FC Zurich | FC Thun | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | FC Thun | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League | 4-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Zurich | FC Thun | Switzerland Super League | 0-4 |
| 2024-07-06 | FC Thun | FC Zurich | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2020-08-03 | FC Zurich | FC Thun | Super League | 3-3 |
| 2020-07-01 | FC Thun | FC Zurich | Super League | 3-2 |
| 2019-11-02 | FC Thun | FC Zurich | Super League | 0-1 |
| 2019-09-22 | FC Zurich | FC Thun | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2019-05-15 | FC Zurich | FC Thun | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2019-03-10 | FC Thun | FC Zurich | Super League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Zurich vs FC Thun odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 24.1%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.96 | 2.29 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 4.00 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 4.00 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 3.96 | 2.29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69 | 3.90 | 2.47 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.60 | 2.22 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .