Servette FC
vs
FC Sion
Garuda Lions Prediction: Servette FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Servette FC vs FC Sion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Servette FC vs FC Sion
| Probability | Servette FC | Draw | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.5% | 21.9% | 37.6% |
| Market | 37.1% | 25.0% | 37.9% |
| Final | 37.9% | 24.3% | 37.8% |
| Edge | +3.4% | -3.1% | -0.2% |
Why Servette FC
- The market prices Servette FC below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Servette FC vs FC Sion match preview
Servette FC faces FC Sion in the Swiss Super League, with both teams showing intriguing recent form. Servette FC's last six matches include two wins and four losses, while FC Sion has recorded four wins and a draw in their last five games. The probabilities suggest an equal chance for both teams to win at 38%, with a 24% likelihood of a draw.
The expected goals for the match indicate a competitive encounter, with Servette FC projected at 2.07 and FC Sion at 2.00. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Servette FC, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% probability that both teams will score. The head-to-head record favors Servette FC, who have not lost to FC Sion in their last ten meetings, securing three wins and seven draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Servette FC and FC Sion expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.07
Servette FC and FC Sion attack and defence ratings
Servette FC
FC Sion
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Servette FC vs FC Sion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 37.9% | 2.64 | +3.4% | 2.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 37.9% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| FC Sion | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% |
| No | 23.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Servette FC win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-1 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Servette FC vs FC Sion stats
Servette FC and FC Sion recent form
| Servette FC |
LWWLLD |
| FC Sion |
DWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Servette FC and FC Sion season so far
Servette FC record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Sion record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Servette FC vs FC Sion head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Servette FC | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Servette FC | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League | 3-3 |
| 2025-09-17 | FC Sion | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Sion | Servette FC | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-04 | FC Sion | Servette FC | Super League | 3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 | Servette FC | FC Sion | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Servette FC | FC Sion | Super League | 5-0 |
| 2023-04-08 | FC Sion | Servette FC | Super League | 2-2 |
| 2023-01-29 | Servette FC | FC Sion | Super League | 2-2 |
| 2022-07-30 | FC Sion | Servette FC | Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Servette FC vs FC Sion odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.1%, draw 25.0%, away 37.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 3.80 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.90 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.80 | 2.47 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 3.80 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.71 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.47 | 3.35 | 2.24 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .