Garuda Lions
Today
Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 10

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893

3 – 0 Full time

26′Marcel Monsberger
36′Marcel Monsberger
48′Denis Simani
50′Juan Cabrera
51′Kazeem Olaigbe
52′Dominik Schwizer
55′Kazeem OlaigbeAaron Malouda
68′Lutfi Dalipi
70′Milos CocicDejan Djokic
71′Jonas harderLudwig Thorell
71′Žan Celargiacomo koloto
71′Moussa CisseKeigo Tsunemoto
85′Abemly Meto Silu MetinhoAkpe Victory
86′Juan CabreraMattia walker
90′Lutfi DalipiMalik Sawadogo
90′Dominik Schwizermischa beeli
90′Marcel MonsbergerNiklas Lang

Rheinpark Stadion, VaduzReferee: Alessandro Dudic

FC Vaduz 39%
Draw 23%
FC Basel 1893 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 1
49 Possession % 51
1 Corners 5
17 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 4
383 Accurate passes 381

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC VaduzDrawFC Basel 1893
Model48.2%20.2%31.6%
Market36.3%23.4%40.4%
Final39.2%22.6%38.2%
Edge+3.0%-0.8%-2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FC Vaduz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 2.01.
  • The market prices FC Vaduz below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Vaduz ↓ / FC Basel 1893 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 6% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 6% 6% 4% 4+ 6% 6% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 82%
No goals 2%

FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 expected goals

FC Vaduz 2.46
FC Basel 1893 2.01

Total expected goals: 4.47

FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 attack and defence ratings

FC Vaduz

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.12 +12%

FC Basel 1893

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893: result vs prediction

FC Vaduz 3 – 0 FC Basel 1893

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Vaduz 39.2% 2.55 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.2% 1.22 — —
Both teams to score Yes 79.7% 1.25 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.4% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.0% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Vaduz39.2%
Draw22.6%
FC Basel 189338.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.2%
Under 2.517.8%
Both teams to scoreYes79.7%
No20.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.8%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)60.8%
Handicap -1FC Vaduz win30.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss52.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.0%
2-17.0%
1-16.2%

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 stats

FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 recent form

newest first
FC Vaduz LLWLWL
FC Basel 1893 LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Vaduz and FC Basel 1893 going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Vaduz record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Basel 1893 record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FC Vaduz wins 4Draws 4FC Basel 1893 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-26FC Basel 1893FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs2-5
2023-07-08FC VaduzFC Basel 1893Friendlies Clubs1-2
2021-04-21FC VaduzFC Basel 1893Super League1-1
2021-04-05FC Basel 1893FC VaduzSuper League1-2
2020-12-12FC VaduzFC Basel 1893Super League0-2
2020-09-20FC Basel 1893FC VaduzSuper League2-2
2017-04-22FC Basel 1893FC VaduzSuper League2-2
2017-03-05FC VaduzFC Basel 1893Super League1-1
2016-11-19FC Basel 1893FC VaduzSuper League6-0
2016-07-31FC VaduzFC Basel 1893Super League1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.3%, draw 23.4%, away 40.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.56 4.05 2.29
Bet365 2.60 3.80 2.38
BetVictor 2.50 3.90 2.30
Betano 2.57 3.95 2.35
Betfair 2.50 4.00 2.30
Dafabet 2.60 4.00 2.38
Marathonbet 2.56 4.05 2.29
Pinnacle 2.68 4.19 2.37
SBO 2.45 3.63 2.24
William Hill 2.50 3.80 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.56 ▲ +0.01
X 3.98 ▼ -0.02
2 2.30 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .