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Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 9

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen

1 – 3 Full time

9′Aliou Balde
21′Clément Michelin
26′Aliou Balde
31′Jonas harder
42′Enrico Maaßen
43′Žan Celar
45′Jonas harderLudwig Thorell
45′Jozo StanićJoel Ruiz
61′Aliou BaldeNevio Scherrer
62′Betim FazlijiCarlo Boukhalfa
64′Clément MichelinMoussa Cisse
65′Christian Witzig
71′Philip OteleAaron Malouda
75′Kazeem Olaigbe
78′Andrin HunzikerDiego Besio
81′Keigo Tsunemotogiacomo koloto
85′Carlo Boukhalfa
86′Hugo VandermerschTom Gaal
90′Xherdan Shaqiri

St. Jakob-Park, BaselReferee: Sven Wolfensberger

FC Basel 1893 42%
Draw 23%
FC ST. Gallen 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 24
2 Shots on target 9
68 Possession % 32
5 Corners 7
13 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 4
6 Saves 1
396 Accurate passes 145

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Basel 1893DrawFC ST. Gallen
Model54.4%19.7%25.9%
Market38.4%24.4%37.2%
Final42.4%23.2%34.4%
Edge+15.9%-4.7%-11.3%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Basel 1893

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 1.80.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Basel 1893 below the model: +15.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Basel 1893 ↓ / FC ST. Gallen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 5% 2 4% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 6% 4+ 4% 8% 7% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

FC Basel 1893 and FC ST. Gallen expected goals

FC Basel 1893 2.58
FC ST. Gallen 1.80

Total expected goals: 4.38

FC Basel 1893 and FC ST. Gallen attack and defence ratings

FC Basel 1893

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.16 +16%

FC ST. Gallen

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen: result vs prediction

FC Basel 1893 1 – 3 FC ST. Gallen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Basel 1893 42.4% 2.36 +15.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.2% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.7% 1.29 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.7% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Basel 189342.4%
Draw23.2%
FC ST. Gallen34.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.2%
Under 2.518.8%
Both teams to scoreYes77.7%
No22.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.6%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.6%
Handicap -1FC Basel 1893 win35.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss45.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.5%
2-26.8%
3-16.5%

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen stats

FC Basel 1893 and FC ST. Gallen recent form

newest first
FC Basel 1893 WLLDWW
FC ST. Gallen LLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Basel 1893 and FC ST. Gallen going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Basel 1893 record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC ST. Gallen record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Basel 1893 wins 3Draws 4FC ST. Gallen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-14FC Basel 1893FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League1-3
2026-03-08FC ST. GallenFC Basel 1893Switzerland Super League3-0
2026-02-04FC ST. GallenFC Basel 1893Schweizer Cup2-1
2025-11-30FC Basel 1893FC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League0-0
2025-07-26FC ST. GallenFC Basel 1893Switzerland Super League2-1
2025-02-22FC ST. GallenFC Basel 1893Super League2-2
2024-12-08FC ST. GallenFC Basel 1893Super League1-1
2024-10-20FC Basel 1893FC ST. GallenSuper League2-1
2024-02-11FC Basel 1893FC ST. GallenSuper League1-0
2023-11-26FC Basel 1893FC ST. GallenSuper League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 24.4%, away 37.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.42 3.82 2.50
Bet365 2.40 4.00 2.50
BetVictor 2.38 3.75 2.45
Betano 2.45 3.85 2.50
Betfair 2.40 4.00 2.40
Marathonbet 2.42 3.82 2.50
Pinnacle 2.48 4.11 2.59
SBO 2.29 3.56 2.43
William Hill 2.45 3.75 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.42 ▲ +0.12
X 3.82 ▼ -0.08
2 2.50 ▼ -0.08

11 snapshots recorded, from .