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Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Lausanne vs FC Lugano

0 – 4 Full time

2′Koba Koindredi
4′Yanis Cimignani
7′Étienne Youte Kinkoue
33′Abdou Karim Sow
35′Hannes Delcroix
45′Omar JannehSeydou Traore
48′Hannes Delcroix
50′Sekou Kone
52′Hannes Delcroix
53′Beckham Castro
55′Uran Bislimi
55′Ibrahim Bah MendesNathan Butler-Oyedeji
55′Enzo MolebeFlorent Mollet
56′Yanis CimignaniMattia Zanotti
57′Beckham CastroAlbian Ajeti
61′Abdou Karim Sow
72′Behruzjon KarimovMartim Marques
72′Uran BislimiAhmed Kendouci
76′Koba KoindrediLevy Nene
81′Anto GrgicGjan Ajdin
87′Étienne Youte KinkoueDircssi Ngonzo

Stade de la Tuiliere, LausanneReferee: Urs Schnyder

Lausanne 22%
Draw 24%
FC Lugano 54%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 5
29 Possession % 71
1 Corners 6
13 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
236 Accurate passes 694

Lausanne vs FC Lugano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lausanne vs FC Lugano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLausanneDrawFC Lugano
Model13.5%20.1%66.4%
Market25.0%24.8%50.2%
Final22.1%23.6%54.3%
Edge-11.6%-4.6%+16.2%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Lugano

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Lugano below the model: +16.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lausanne ↓ / FC Lugano → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 8% 8% 1 9% 10% 7% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Lausanne and FC Lugano expected goals

Lausanne 0.95
FC Lugano 2.29

Total expected goals: 3.24

Lausanne and FC Lugano attack and defence ratings

Lausanne

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.92 -8%

FC Lugano

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lausanne vs FC Lugano: result vs prediction

Lausanne 0 – 4 FC Lugano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

Lausanne vs FC Lugano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Lugano 54.3% 1.84 +16.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.9% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 FC Lugano win 44.4% 2.25 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lausanne22.1%
Draw23.6%
FC Lugano54.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.9%
Under 2.537.1%
Both teams to scoreYes56.1%
No43.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.7%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)77.9%
Handicap -1FC Lugano win44.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss33.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.2%
1-29.8%
1-19.4%

Lausanne vs FC Lugano stats

Lausanne and FC Lugano recent form

newest first
Lausanne LLDLLW
FC Lugano WDWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lausanne and FC Lugano going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lausanne record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Lugano record

  • They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Lausanne vs FC Lugano head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Lausanne wins 3Draws 4FC Lugano wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22FC LuganoLausanneSwitzerland Super League2-1
2025-12-07LausanneFC LuganoSwitzerland Super League0-0
2025-09-17FC LuganoLausanneSwitzerland Super League1-1
2025-05-18LausanneFC LuganoSuper League1-1
2025-04-21LausanneFC LuganoSuper League2-0
2024-12-15FC LuganoLausanneSuper League1-4
2024-09-18LausanneFC LuganoSuper League1-2
2024-04-20FC LuganoLausanneSuper League2-0
2023-11-04LausanneFC LuganoSuper League3-1
2023-11-01LausanneFC LuganoSchweizer Cup0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lausanne vs FC Lugano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.0%, draw 24.8%, away 50.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.71 3.84 1.85
Bet365 4.00 3.70 1.85
BetVictor 3.70 3.70 1.80
Betano 3.70 3.75 1.88
Betfair 3.80 3.80 1.85
Marathonbet 3.72 3.84 1.83
Pinnacle 3.82 4.14 1.88
SBO 3.38 3.38 1.86
William Hill 3.50 3.75 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.71 ▼ -0.19
X 3.75 ▼ -0.10
2 1.85 ▲ +0.05

11 snapshots recorded, from .