Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 9

FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers

5 – 1 Full time

5′Tyron Owusu
8′Peter Zeidler
9′Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb
10′Amir Abrashi
27′Leonardo Bertone
36′Nico Rissi
45′Giotto MorandiSamuele Bengondo
55′Óscar ClementeKenzo Goudmijn
60′Daniel Mikołajewski
61′Manex GibelaldeDenis Sahin
61′Nikolas Marcel Cristiano MuciLee Young-Jun
68′Andrejs Cigaņiks
72′Oscar Kabwit TshikombBongeli Faveurdi Beenga
72′Mio ZimmermannLevin Winkler
73′Daniel Mikołajewski
76′Samuele Bengondo
77′Matteo Di GiustoLucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
77′Tyron OwusuSandro Wyss
82′Nico RissiJohn Hilton
86′Daniel Mikołajewski
88′Daniel MikołajewskiNando Toggenburger

Swissporarena, LucerneReferee: Luca Cibelli

FC Luzern 54%
Draw 22%
Grasshoppers 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 21
11 Shots on target 6
54 Possession % 46
5 Corners 9
13 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 1
5 Saves 6
327 Accurate passes 251

FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC LuzernDrawGrasshoppers
Model48.3%21.8%29.9%
Market56.3%21.5%22.2%
Final54.3%21.5%24.1%
Edge-8.0%+0.4%+7.6%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Luzern

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.73.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Luzern ↓ / Grasshoppers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

FC Luzern and Grasshoppers expected goals

FC Luzern 2.21
Grasshoppers 1.73

Total expected goals: 3.95

FC Luzern and Grasshoppers attack and defence ratings

FC Luzern

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Grasshoppers

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers: result vs prediction

FC Luzern 5 – 1 Grasshoppers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Luzern 54.3% 1.84 -8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.4% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.1% 1.35 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Luzern54.3%
Draw21.5%
Grasshoppers24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.4%
Under 2.524.6%
Both teams to scoreYes74.1%
No25.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)78.5%
X2 (draw or away)45.7%
Handicap -1FC Luzern win29.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.2%
1-18.2%
2-27.1%

FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers stats

FC Luzern and Grasshoppers recent form

newest first
FC Luzern LDWDWW
Grasshoppers LWDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Luzern and Grasshoppers going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Luzern record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Grasshoppers record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.

FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7FC Luzern wins 2Draws 1Grasshoppers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25GrasshoppersFC LuzernSwitzerland Super League1-2
2026-02-10FC LuzernGrasshoppersSwitzerland Super League4-3
2025-11-02FC LuzernGrasshoppersSwitzerland Super League6-0
2025-07-26GrasshoppersFC LuzernSwitzerland Super League2-3
2025-04-06GrasshoppersFC LuzernSuper League3-1
2024-11-03FC LuzernGrasshoppersSuper League2-0
2024-07-27GrasshoppersFC LuzernSuper League2-2
2024-05-10FC LuzernGrasshoppersSuper League1-1
2024-02-24GrasshoppersFC LuzernSuper League0-1
2023-11-05FC LuzernGrasshoppersSuper League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.3%, draw 21.5%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.66 4.55 4.18
Bet365 1.67 4.33 4.33
BetVictor 1.62 4.33 4.10
Betano 1.67 4.25 4.20
Betfair 1.62 4.50 4.10
Marathonbet 1.64 4.55 4.25
Pinnacle 1.68 4.67 4.36
SBO 1.61 3.83 3.71
William Hill 1.65 4.20 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▼ -0.06
X 4.33 ▲ +0.28
2 4.18 ▲ +0.10

9 snapshots recorded, from .