Winkeln St. Gallen
vs
Lausanne
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lausanne
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Winkeln St. Gallen vs Lausanne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Winkeln St. Gallen vs Lausanne
| Probability | Winkeln St. Gallen | Draw | Lausanne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.3% | 20.4% | 66.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 13.3% | 20.4% | 66.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lausanne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.93.
Winkeln St. Gallen vs Lausanne match preview
Winkeln St. Gallen faces Lausanne in the Schweizer Cup with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood for a Lausanne victory at 66%, while Winkeln St. Gallen has a 13% chance of winning and a 20% probability of a draw. The expected goals suggest a significant disparity, with Winkeln St. Gallen at 0.93 and Lausanne at 2.25.
Recent form shows Winkeln St. Gallen coming off a win, while Lausanne has struggled with three consecutive losses, followed by a draw and two more losses. The most likely scoreline is 0-2 in favor of Lausanne, which aligns with a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 55%. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Winkeln St. Gallen and Lausanne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
Winkeln St. Gallen and Lausanne attack and defence ratings
Winkeln St. Gallen
Lausanne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Winkeln St. Gallen vs Lausanne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lausanne | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lausanne win | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Winkeln St. Gallen | 13.3% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Lausanne | 66.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lausanne win | 44.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 33.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.6% |
Winkeln St. Gallen vs Lausanne stats
Winkeln St. Gallen and Lausanne recent form
| Winkeln St. Gallen |
W |
| Lausanne |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.