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Challenge League · ·Matchday 11

FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC WIL 1900

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.51.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC WIL 1900 is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on FC WIL 1900

Lidl Arena, Wil

FC WIL 1900 45%
Draw 24%
Rapperswil 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance FC WIL 1900 wins
45%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
69%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC WIL 1900DrawRapperswil
Model50.5%22.7%26.8%
Market43.1%24.2%32.7%
Final44.9%23.9%31.2%
Edge+1.8%-0.4%-1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FC WIL 1900

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.51.

Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.1% per unit staked (our 44.9% × 2.18 − 1).

FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil match preview

FC WIL 1900 faces Rapperswil in a Challenge League matchup on October 23, 2026. According to our model, FC WIL 1900 has a 45% probability of winning, while Rapperswil stands at 31%, with a draw at 24%. The expected goals for FC WIL 1900 is 2.18 compared to Rapperswil's 1.64. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of FC WIL 1900, with a 9% chance of occurring.

In terms of recent form, FC WIL 1900 has drawn three of their last five matches, while Rapperswil has won two of their last five, including a recent draw. Our model indicates a 73% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance that both teams will score in this encounter. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC WIL 1900 ↓ / Rapperswil → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

FC WIL 1900 and Rapperswil expected goals

FC WIL 1900 2.10
Rapperswil 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.61

FC WIL 1900 and Rapperswil attack and defence ratings

FC WIL 1900

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Rapperswil

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC WIL 1900 44.9% 2.23 +1.8% 2.18
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.0% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.3% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.1% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.5% 2.02 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC WIL 190044.9%
Draw23.9%
Rapperswil31.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.0%
Under 2.530.0%
Both teams to scoreYes69.3%
No30.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.8%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1FC WIL 1900 win30.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss49.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
2-19.0%
2-26.8%
Compare prices for this pick

FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil stats

FC WIL 1900 and Rapperswil recent form

newest first
FC WIL 1900 WDWLDD
Rapperswil LLWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC WIL 1900 and Rapperswil season so far

league record

FC WIL 1900 record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapperswil record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC WIL 1900 wins 2Draws 5Rapperswil wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-24RapperswilFC WIL 1900Challenge League4-5
2026-04-11RapperswilFC WIL 1900Challenge League2-0
2026-02-13FC WIL 1900RapperswilChallenge League0-2
2025-11-07RapperswilFC WIL 1900Challenge League1-2
2025-08-26FC WIL 1900RapperswilChallenge League1-3
2023-07-14FC WIL 1900RapperswilFriendlies Clubs0-0
2023-01-10FC WIL 1900RapperswilFriendlies Clubs0-1
2019-04-28FC WIL 1900RapperswilChallenge League1-1
2019-03-02RapperswilFC WIL 1900Challenge League4-0
2018-11-25RapperswilFC WIL 1900Challenge League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 24.2%, away 32.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 3.74 2.79
Bet365 2.15 3.75 2.80
BetVictor 2.15 3.90 2.80
Betano 2.15 3.80 2.82
Betfair 2.10 3.80 2.70
Dafabet 2.18 3.80 2.85
Marathonbet 2.06 3.74 2.73
Pinnacle 2.15 3.90 2.89
SBO 2.04 3.41 2.58
William Hill 2.10 3.50 2.80
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▲ +0.02
X 3.77 ▲ +0.03
2 2.80 —

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 FC WIL 1900 Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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