FC WIL 1900
vs
FC Winterthur
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Winterthur
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Winterthur is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur
| Probability | FC WIL 1900 | Draw | FC Winterthur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.9% | 24.8% | 43.3% |
| Market | 28.0% | 24.4% | 47.6% |
| Final | 29.0% | 24.5% | 46.5% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +0.1% | -1.1% |
Why FC Winterthur
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.3% per unit staked (our 46.5% × 1.95 − 1).
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur match preview
FC WIL 1900 faces FC Winterthur in a Challenge League match on November 1, 2026. According to our model, FC WIL 1900 has a 32% probability of winning, while FC Winterthur stands at 44%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 66% likelihood, and there is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, FC WIL 1900 has recorded draws and wins in their last six matches, with a record of D-W-D-W-L-D. Conversely, FC Winterthur has shown stronger form, winning four of their last six matches (W-L-L-W-W-W). The expected goals for FC WIL 1900 is 1.52, while FC Winterthur's is slightly higher at 1.80. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.31
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur attack and defence ratings
FC WIL 1900
FC Winterthur
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Winterthur | 46.5% | 2.15 | -1.1% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC WIL 1900 | 29.0% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| FC Winterthur | 46.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Winterthur win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur stats
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur recent form
| FC WIL 1900 |
DWDWLD |
| FC Winterthur |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC WIL 1900 and FC Winterthur season so far
FC WIL 1900 record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Winterthur record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | FC Winterthur | FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC WIL 1900 vs FC Winterthur odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.0%, draw 24.4%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 3.72 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.93 |
| Marathonbet | 3.15 | 3.72 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.36 | 3.85 | 1.95 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.91 |