Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
vs
Yverdon Sport
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.77.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport
| Probability | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.0% | 27.2% | 16.8% |
| Market | 42.9% | 25.9% | 31.2% |
| Final | 46.1% | 26.3% | 27.6% |
| Edge | +3.3% | +0.3% | -3.6% |
Why Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.77.
- The market prices Stade Lausanne-Ouchy below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.6% per unit staked (our 46.1% × 2.18 − 1).
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport match preview
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy hosts Yverdon Sport in a Challenge League matchup where the home side holds a 54% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.42 for Lausanne-Ouchy compared to 0.65 for Yverdon Sport. Recent form shows Stade Lausanne-Ouchy with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Yverdon Sport has recorded four wins, one draw, and one loss.
Historically, the last 10 encounters between these teams have seen Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Yverdon Sport each secure four wins, with two matches ending in draws. The probabilities for a draw stand at 30%, and both teams to score is estimated at 38%. With a confidence grade of C, this match promises to be competitive.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Yverdon Sport expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Yverdon Sport attack and defence ratings
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Yverdon Sport
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 46.1% | 2.17 | +3.3% | 2.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 46.1% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Yverdon Sport | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.0% |
| No | 56.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | |
| 2-0 | 12.0% |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport stats
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Yverdon Sport recent form
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
DWWDWW |
| Yverdon Sport |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Yverdon Sport season so far
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yverdon Sport record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Yverdon Sport | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Yverdon Sport | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Yverdon Sport | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League | 3-2 |
| 2024-05-11 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Yverdon Sport | Super League | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Yverdon Sport | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Yverdon Sport | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-28 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Yverdon Sport | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-19 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon Sport odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 25.9%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.52 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.52 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.66 | 3.01 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.90 |