Yverdon Sport
vs
SC Kriens
Garuda Lions Prediction: Yverdon Sport
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Yverdon Sport is the favourite, not a value bet.
Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens
| Probability | Yverdon Sport | Draw | SC Kriens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.3% | 26.0% | 19.7% |
| Market | 61.9% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| Final | 60.0% | 21.6% | 18.4% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +1.5% | +0.4% |
Why Yverdon Sport
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.2% per unit staked (our 60.0% × 1.53 − 1).
Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens match preview
Yverdon Sport enters the match against SC Kriens with a 54% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and SC Kriens at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, with an 11% chance. Yverdon Sport has shown strong recent form, recording three wins and a draw in their last six matches, while SC Kriens has managed two wins and three draws in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, Yverdon Sport is forecasted to score 1.73, compared to SC Kriens' 0.96. The model suggests a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability that both teams will score. In their last encounter, Yverdon Sport secured a win, adding to their favorable head-to-head record against SC Kriens, which stands at 1 win for Yverdon Sport and none for SC Kriens.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yverdon Sport and SC Kriens expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Yverdon Sport and SC Kriens attack and defence ratings
Yverdon Sport
SC Kriens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yverdon Sport | 60.0% | 1.67 | -1.9% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yverdon Sport | 60.0% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| SC Kriens | 18.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yverdon Sport win | 30.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens stats
Yverdon Sport and SC Kriens recent form
| Yverdon Sport |
WWDLWW |
| SC Kriens |
DWDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yverdon Sport and SC Kriens season so far
Yverdon Sport record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
SC Kriens record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | SC Kriens | Yverdon Sport | Challenge League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.9%, draw 20.1%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 4.45 | 5.09 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.70 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 4.45 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.62 | 4.93 |
| SBO | 1.39 | 4.11 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .