Rapperswil
vs
Stade Nyonnais
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rapperswil
2 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 0.99.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais
| Probability | Rapperswil | Draw | Stade Nyonnais |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.8% | 16.5% | 10.6% |
| Market | 60.4% | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| Final | 63.5% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% |
Why Rapperswil
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapperswil below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.5% per unit staked (our 63.5% × 1.55 − 1).
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais match preview
Rapperswil enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 64%, while Stade Nyonnais has a 17% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-0 in favor of Rapperswil, with an expected goals tally of 2.70 for Rapperswil compared to just 0.99 for Stade Nyonnais. Additionally, there is a 71% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 59% chance of scoring.
In terms of recent form, Rapperswil has recorded two wins in their last five matches, while Stade Nyonnais has struggled, losing four of their last five games. The head-to-head record shows Rapperswil with three wins and Stade Nyonnais with two wins in their last five encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rapperswil and Stade Nyonnais expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
Rapperswil and Stade Nyonnais attack and defence ratings
Rapperswil
Stade Nyonnais
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapperswil | 63.5% | 1.57 | +3.1% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rapperswil win | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapperswil | 63.5% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Stade Nyonnais | 16.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapperswil win | 52.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 27.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 3-0 | 8.2% |
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais stats
Rapperswil and Stade Nyonnais recent form
| Rapperswil |
DLLWWL |
| Stade Nyonnais |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rapperswil and Stade Nyonnais season so far
Rapperswil record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stade Nyonnais record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Stade Nyonnais | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Rapperswil | Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Stade Nyonnais | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Rapperswil | Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Stade Nyonnais | Rapperswil | Challenge League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.4%, draw 21.0%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.30 | 4.93 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.30 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.49 | 5.18 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .