Garuda Lions
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Challenge League · ·Matchday 13

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil

Garuda Lions Prediction: SC Kriens

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.59.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SC Kriens is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on SC Kriens

Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens

SC Kriens 46%
Draw 23%
Rapperswil 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance SC Kriens wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
72%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SC Kriens vs Rapperswil

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySC KriensDrawRapperswil
Model51.9%21.7%26.4%
Market43.9%24.1%32.0%
Final45.9%23.5%30.6%
Edge+2.0%-0.6%-1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why SC Kriens

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.59.

Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.8% per unit staked (our 45.9% × 2.14 − 1).

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil match preview

SC Kriens hosts Rapperswil in an intriguing Challenge League matchup. According to our model, SC Kriens has a 46% probability of winning, while Rapperswil stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of SC Kriens, with an expected goals tally of 2.25 for Kriens and 1.59 for Rapperswil. There is a strong likelihood of goals, with 74% probability for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

In terms of recent form, SC Kriens has recorded a mix of results with D-L-D-W-D-L, while Rapperswil's recent performances show L-D-L-L-W-W. The head-to-head record over the last 10 encounters indicates a competitive history, with SC Kriens winning 4 times, Rapperswil 5 times, and 1 draw. The confidence grade for this fixture is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SC Kriens ↓ / Rapperswil → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

SC Kriens and Rapperswil expected goals

SC Kriens 2.25
Rapperswil 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.85

SC Kriens and Rapperswil attack and defence ratings

SC Kriens

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Rapperswil

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Challenge League

Before and after this match

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SC Kriens 45.9% 2.18 +2.0% 2.14
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.8% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.1% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.1% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SC Kriens45.9%
Draw23.5%
Rapperswil30.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.8%
Under 2.526.2%
Both teams to scoreYes72.1%
No27.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.4%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)54.1%
Handicap -1SC Kriens win32.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss48.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.6%
1-18.4%
2-26.9%
Compare prices for this pick

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil stats

SC Kriens and Rapperswil recent form

newest first
SC Kriens DLDWDL
Rapperswil LDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SC Kriens and Rapperswil season so far

league record

SC Kriens record

  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.

Rapperswil record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4SC Kriens wins 1Draws 5Rapperswil wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-01RapperswilSC KriensChallenge League1-1
2025-04-26SC KriensRapperswil1. Liga Promotion1-5
2024-10-23RapperswilSC Kriens1. Liga Promotion0-2
2024-04-13RapperswilSC Kriens1. Liga Promotion4-1
2023-10-07SC KriensRapperswil1. Liga Promotion2-5
2023-03-18SC KriensRapperswil1. Liga Promotion2-0
2022-09-10RapperswilSC Kriens1. Liga Promotion2-1
2019-05-03RapperswilSC KriensChallenge League1-0
2019-03-09SC KriensRapperswilChallenge League2-1
2018-10-20RapperswilSC KriensChallenge League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SC Kriens vs Rapperswil odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 24.1%, away 32.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 3.82 2.83
Bet365 2.05 3.80 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.90 2.90
Betano 2.12 3.85 2.87
Betfair 2.05 3.80 2.80
Dafabet 2.14 3.85 2.90
Marathonbet 2.02 3.82 2.77
Pinnacle 2.11 4.25 2.98
SBO 2.09 3.39 2.64
William Hill 2.10 3.50 2.88
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 ▼ -0.06
X 3.82 ▲ +0.02
2 2.88 ▲ +0.17

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 SC Kriens Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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