BSC Young Boys
vs
FC ST. Gallen
Garuda Lions Prediction: BSC Young Boys
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.00 vs 1.49.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen
| Probability | BSC Young Boys | Draw | FC ST. Gallen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.6% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| Market | 52.0% | 22.0% | 26.0% |
| Final | 55.9% | 20.6% | 23.5% |
| Edge | +3.9% | -1.4% | -2.5% |
Why BSC Young Boys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.00 vs 1.49.
- The market prices BSC Young Boys below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.3% per unit staked (our 55.9% × 1.83 − 1).
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen match preview
BSC Young Boys enter this match with a 55% probability of winning, while FC ST. Gallen has a 24% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1, with an 8% probability. Young Boys have an expected goals tally of 2.77, compared to Gallen's 1.63, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, BSC Young Boys have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Conversely, FC ST. Gallen has achieved three wins, one loss, and one draw in the same period. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 82% and both teams scoring at 76%, reflecting an expectation for an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.49
BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen attack and defence ratings
BSC Young Boys
FC ST. Gallen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSC Young Boys | 55.9% | 1.79 | +3.9% | 1.83 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | BSC Young Boys win | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSC Young Boys | 55.9% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| FC ST. Gallen | 23.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% |
| No | 25.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | BSC Young Boys win | 48.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.5% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 4-1 | 5.6% |
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen stats
BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen recent form
| BSC Young Boys |
WWWDDW |
| FC ST. Gallen |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BSC Young Boys and FC ST. Gallen season so far
BSC Young Boys record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 3.4 goals per match.
FC ST. Gallen record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | BSC Young Boys | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-11 | FC ST. Gallen | BSC Young Boys | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | FC ST. Gallen | BSC Young Boys | Switzerland Super League | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-19 | BSC Young Boys | FC ST. Gallen | Switzerland Super League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 22.0%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 4.25 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.33 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.82 | 4.40 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 4.25 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 4.22 | 3.98 |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.79 | 3.08 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .