Garuda Lions
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Switzerland Super League · ·Matchday 12

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC ST. Gallen

2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC ST. Gallen is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on FC ST. Gallen

Kybunpark, St. Gallen

FC ST. Gallen 45%
Draw 24%
Servette FC 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance FC ST. Gallen wins
45%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
6% of simulated outcomes

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC ST. GallenDrawServette FC
Model22.5%24.9%52.5%
Market52.8%23.4%23.8%
Final45.2%23.8%31.0%
Edge-7.6%+0.4%+7.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -18.6% per unit staked (our 45.2% × 1.80 − 1).

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC match preview

FC St. Gallen faces Servette FC in the Switzerland Super League, with probabilities indicating a 45% chance of a home win for St. Gallen, a 24% likelihood of a draw, and a 31% chance for Servette FC to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of FC St. Gallen, with a 6% probability. The expected goals for FC St. Gallen stand at 1.15, while Servette FC is projected to score 1.84.

In terms of recent form, FC St. Gallen has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Servette FC has been more consistent, winning four of their last six. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows an even split, with each team claiming three wins and four matches ending in a draw. The model suggests a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC ST. Gallen ↓ / Servette FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 9% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC expected goals

FC ST. Gallen 1.15
Servette FC 1.84

Total expected goals: 2.99

FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC attack and defence ratings

FC ST. Gallen

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Servette FC

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC ST. Gallen 45.2% 2.21 -7.6% 1.80
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.5% 1.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC ST. Gallen45.2%
Draw23.8%
Servette FC31.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.5%
Under 2.542.5%
Both teams to scoreYes58.5%
No41.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)54.8%
Handicap -1FC ST. Gallen win9.2%
Push (exactly one goal)13.4%
Loss77.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
1-29.8%
0-28.5%
Compare prices for this pick

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC stats

FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC recent form

newest first
FC ST. Gallen LWWWLL
Servette FC WWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC ST. Gallen and Servette FC season so far

league record

FC ST. Gallen record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.

Servette FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC ST. Gallen wins 4Draws 3Servette FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-06Servette FCFC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League0-2
2026-02-21Servette FCFC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League1-1
2026-01-25FC ST. GallenServette FCSwitzerland Super League2-4
2025-08-02Servette FCFC ST. GallenSwitzerland Super League1-4
2025-04-06FC ST. GallenServette FCSuper League1-0
2025-01-18Servette FCFC ST. GallenSuper League1-1
2024-10-06FC ST. GallenServette FCSuper League1-1
2024-05-12FC ST. GallenServette FCSuper League1-1
2024-03-02Servette FCFC ST. GallenSuper League2-0
2024-01-31FC ST. GallenServette FCSuper League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 23.4%, away 23.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.78 3.96 3.90
BetVictor 1.75 3.90 3.75
Betano 1.78 4.00 3.90
Betfair 1.75 4.10 3.80
Marathonbet 1.76 3.96 3.92
Pinnacle 1.80 4.05 4.00
William Hill 1.75 3.80 3.90
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.76 ▲ +0.01
X 3.96 ▼ -0.09
2 3.90 ▼ -0.09

2 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 FC ST. Gallen Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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