Servette FC
vs
FC Zurich
Garuda Lions Prediction: Servette FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.40.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Servette FC vs FC Zurich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Servette FC vs FC Zurich
| Probability | Servette FC | Draw | FC Zurich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.5% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| Market | 50.6% | 24.4% | 25.0% |
| Final | 52.8% | 23.4% | 23.8% |
| Edge | +2.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
Why Servette FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.40.
- The market prices Servette FC below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.9% per unit staked (our 52.8% × 1.91 − 1).
Servette FC vs FC Zurich match preview
Servette FC hosts FC Zurich in a match where the model gives Servette a 60% chance of winning, while both teams have a 20% probability of a draw or an FC Zurich victory. The expected goals suggest a strong performance from Servette, with 2.44 expected goals compared to FC Zurich's 1.40. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Servette FC has recorded two wins in their last five matches, while FC Zurich has been more consistent with four wins in the same timeframe. The model indicates a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 70%. The head-to-head record shows a competitive balance, with Servette winning twice and FC Zurich also securing two victories in the last five encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Servette FC and FC Zurich expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Servette FC and FC Zurich attack and defence ratings
Servette FC
FC Zurich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Servette FC vs FC Zurich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 52.8% | 1.89 | +2.2% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 52.8% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| FC Zurich | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Servette FC win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 40.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 3-1 | 7.3% |
Servette FC vs FC Zurich stats
Servette FC and FC Zurich recent form
| Servette FC |
LWWWLW |
| FC Zurich |
WWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Servette FC and FC Zurich season so far
Servette FC record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
FC Zurich record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Servette FC vs FC Zurich head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | FC Zurich | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-16 | FC Zurich | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Servette FC | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Servette FC | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Zurich | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | FC Zurich | Servette FC | Super League | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-09 | Servette FC | FC Zurich | Super League | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | FC Zurich | Servette FC | Super League | 1-3 |
| 2024-05-15 | FC Zurich | Servette FC | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Servette FC | FC Zurich | Super League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Servette FC vs FC Zurich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 24.4%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.84 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.85 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.85 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.95 | 3.76 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.32 | 3.28 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .