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Switzerland Super League · ·Matchday 12

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich

Garuda Lions Prediction: BSC Young Boys

3 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 1.30.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — BSC Young Boys is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on BSC Young Boys

Stadion Wankdorf, Bern

BSC Young Boys 75%
Draw 14%
FC Zurich 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance BSC Young Boys wins
75%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
99%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
71%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
3 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich overview

Garuda Lions analysis: BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBSC Young BoysDrawFC Zurich
Model76.3%13.3%10.4%
Market75.0%14.2%10.8%
Final75.3%13.9%10.7%
Edge+0.3%-0.2%-0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why BSC Young Boys

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.37 vs 1.30.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (our 75.3% × 1.29 − 1).

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich match preview

BSC Young Boys are positioned strongly ahead of their match against FC Zurich, with a 76% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Young Boys stand at 3.35, while FC Zurich is projected at 1.30, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 3-1, occurring with an 8% probability, and there is an 84% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.

In terms of recent form, BSC Young Boys have been consistent, recording four wins and two draws in their last six matches. Conversely, FC Zurich has a mixed record with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their recent outings. Historically, BSC Young Boys have dominated their encounters with FC Zurich, winning seven of the last ten matches.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

BSC Young Boys ↓ / FC Zurich → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 8% 4+ 12% 15% 10%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 84%
No goals 1%

BSC Young Boys and FC Zurich expected goals

BSC Young Boys 3.37
FC Zurich 1.30

Total expected goals: 4.67

BSC Young Boys and FC Zurich attack and defence ratings

BSC Young Boys

Attack 1.74 +74%
Defence 0.85 -15%

FC Zurich

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 BSC Young Boys 75.3% 1.33 +0.3% 1.29
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84.4% 1.18 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.7% 1.42 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.3% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 BSC Young Boys win 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2BSC Young Boys75.3%
Draw13.9%
FC Zurich10.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584.4%
Under 2.515.6%
Both teams to scoreYes70.7%
No29.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.3%
12 (either side)86.1%
X2 (draw or away)24.7%
Handicap -1BSC Young Boys win59.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss23.7%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.8%
2-16.9%
4-16.5%
Compare prices for this pick

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich stats

BSC Young Boys and FC Zurich recent form

newest first
BSC Young Boys WWWWDD
FC Zurich WLWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

BSC Young Boys and FC Zurich season so far

league record

BSC Young Boys record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.

FC Zurich record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7BSC Young Boys wins 2Draws 1FC Zurich wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-01FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League2-4
2026-03-01BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSwitzerland Super League3-0
2026-02-01BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSwitzerland Super League3-0
2025-10-26FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League2-3
2025-04-21BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSuper League2-1
2025-02-27FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSchweizer Cup2-3
2024-11-02FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSuper League0-0
2024-08-04BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSuper League2-2
2024-05-05FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSuper League0-2
2024-03-03FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSuper League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.0%, draw 14.2%, away 10.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.24 6.70 8.75
Betano 1.29 6.00 7.80
Betfair 1.22 6.50 9.00
Marathonbet 1.23 6.70 8.90
Pinnacle 1.26 6.84 8.29
William Hill 1.25 6.00 8.50
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 1 BSC Young Boys Predicted score 3 – 1 Low Bet Now
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