FC Luzern
vs
FC Sion
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Sion
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Sion is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Luzern vs FC Sion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Luzern vs FC Sion
| Probability | FC Luzern | Draw | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.9% | 23.4% | 43.7% |
| Market | 35.6% | 23.9% | 40.4% |
| Final | 35.0% | 23.8% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -0.7% | -0.1% | +0.8% |
Why FC Sion
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (our 41.2% × 2.35 − 1).
FC Luzern vs FC Sion match preview
FC Luzern faces FC Sion in the Switzerland Super League with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, FC Luzern has a 34% probability of winning, while FC Sion stands at 44%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 74% chance for this outcome, and there is also a 74% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, FC Luzern has recorded a sequence of L-W-L-W-L-D, while FC Sion comes in strong with W-L-D-W-W-W. The expected goals for the match indicate FC Luzern at 1.81 and FC Sion at 2.07. Historically, in their last four encounters, FC Luzern has not secured a win, with three draws and one victory for FC Sion. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Luzern and FC Sion expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.62
FC Luzern and FC Sion attack and defence ratings
FC Luzern
FC Sion
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Luzern vs FC Sion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Sion | 41.2% | 2.43 | +0.8% | 2.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Luzern | 35.0% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| FC Sion | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.5% |
| No | 29.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
FC Luzern vs FC Sion stats
FC Luzern and FC Sion recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Luzern and FC Sion season so far
FC Luzern record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Sion record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FC Luzern vs FC Sion head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Sion | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | FC Sion | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-24 | FC Sion | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | FC Luzern | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Luzern vs FC Sion odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 23.9%, away 40.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.90 | 2.31 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.90 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 4.10 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 3.90 | 2.31 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73 | 3.87 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.30 |