FC Basel 1893
vs
Grasshoppers
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Basel 1893
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Basel 1893 is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers
| Probability | FC Basel 1893 | Draw | Grasshoppers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.3% | 20.3% | 40.5% |
| Market | 57.8% | 20.6% | 21.6% |
| Final | 53.2% | 20.5% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -4.6% | -0.1% | +4.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.66, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.7% per unit staked (our 53.2% × 1.66 − 1).
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers match preview
FC Basel 1893 faces Grasshoppers in a match where the probabilities favor Basel with a 54% chance of winning, compared to 26% for Grasshoppers and a 20% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Basel, with an 84% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored and an 81% probability that both teams will find the net.
In terms of recent form, FC Basel 1893 has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Grasshoppers have three wins, two losses, and a draw over the same period. The head-to-head record shows FC Basel 1893 with two wins and one draw against Grasshoppers in their last three encounters. The expected goals for this match are 2.28 for Basel and 2.31 for Grasshoppers, indicating a potentially competitive game.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.59
FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers attack and defence ratings
FC Basel 1893
Grasshoppers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Basel 1893 | 53.2% | 1.88 | -4.6% | 1.66 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Basel 1893 | 53.2% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Grasshoppers | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81.4% |
| No | 18.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Basel 1893 win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.3% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.0% |
| 1-2 | 6.2% | |
| 2-1 | 6.1% |
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers stats
FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers recent form
| FC Basel 1893 |
WLLWLL |
| Grasshoppers |
WLLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Basel 1893 and Grasshoppers season so far
FC Basel 1893 record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Grasshoppers record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | FC Basel 1893 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Grasshoppers | FC Basel 1893 | Switzerland Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | FC Basel 1893 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.7%, draw 20.7%, away 21.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 4.55 | 4.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.50 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.45 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.55 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.55 | 4.32 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.98 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .