UEFA Europa Conference League · ·League Stage - 2

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian

Garuda Lions Prediction: Trabzonspor

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

Papara Park, Trabzon

Trabzonspor 55%
Draw 24%
Heart Of Midlothian 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Trabzonspor wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrabzonsporDrawHeart Of Midlothian
Model55.4%23.5%21.1%
Market———
Final55.4%23.5%21.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Trabzonspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.18.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian match preview

Trabzonspor faces Heart Of Midlothian in the UEFA Europa Conference League with a probability of winning set at 55%, while a draw stands at 24% and Heart Of Midlothian at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 2.00 for Trabzonspor and 1.18 for Heart Of Midlothian.

In terms of recent form, Trabzonspor has recorded a mixed performance with two wins and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Heart Of Midlothian has shown more consistency, with three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 62%, while both teams scoring is projected at 61%. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trabzonspor ↓ / Heart Of Midlo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian expected goals

Trabzonspor 2.00
Heart Of Midlothian 1.18

Total expected goals: 3.18

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian attack and defence ratings

Trabzonspor

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Heart Of Midlothian

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Trabzonspor 55.4% 1.81 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.9% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.6% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trabzonspor55.4%
Draw23.5%
Heart Of Midlothian21.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes60.9%
No39.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.9%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)44.6%
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win33.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss44.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian stats

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Trabzonspor Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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