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UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian

2 – 0 Full time

9′Sidny Lopes Cabral
11′Calvin Miller
20′Christian Borchgrevink
32′M. Salah
38′Samet Akaydın
44′C. BorchgrevinkS. Kingsley
58′Franculino
70′B. BouchouariW. Pina
71′M. SalahO. Tufan
71′T. Jabol-FolcarelliA. Simsir
75′S. GuendouzJ. McPake
75′C. MillerS. Kerjota
75′J. WilsonJ. Williams
87′N. SavioloK. Akcay
87′B. MendyFabinho
90′Sidny Lopes Cabral
90′Sidny Lopes Cabral
90′Josh McPake
90′C. BragaP. Kabore

Papara Park, TrabzonReferee: L. Visser

Trabzonspor 74%
Draw 15%
Heart Of Midlothian 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
61 Possession % 39
6 Corners 1
12 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
513 Accurate passes 305

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrabzonsporDrawHeart Of Midlothian
Model72.7%15.7%11.6%
Market74.9%15.2%9.9%
Final74.3%15.3%10.3%
Edge-0.5%+0.1%+0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Trabzonspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.92 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trabzonspor ↓ / Heart Of Midlo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 7% 8% 3 7% 8% 4+ 10% 12% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian expected goals

Trabzonspor 2.92
Heart Of Midlothian 1.17

Total expected goals: 4.09

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian attack and defence ratings

Trabzonspor

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Heart Of Midlothian

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian: result vs prediction

Trabzonspor 2 – 0 Heart Of Midlothian

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Trabzonspor 74.3% 1.35 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.6% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.8% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.7% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Trabzonspor win 53.5% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trabzonspor74.3%
Draw15.3%
Heart Of Midlothian10.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.6%
Under 2.522.4%
Both teams to scoreYes65.8%
No34.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.7%
12 (either side)84.7%
X2 (draw or away)25.7%
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win53.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss27.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.3%
3-18.1%
2-07.1%

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian stats

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian recent form

newest first
Trabzonspor WWWWLW
Heart Of Midlothian LDWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.9%, draw 15.2%, away 9.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.26 6.69 10.40
Bet365 1.25 6.25 8.00
BetVictor 1.22 6.00 10.50
Betano 1.30 6.60 9.75
Betfair 1.22 6.00 9.50
Dafabet 1.28 6.60 9.40
Marathonbet 1.24 6.10 9.50
Pinnacle 1.27 6.73 8.72
SBO 1.26 4.94 6.66
William Hill 1.25 6.00 9.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▼ -0.17
X 6.17 ▲ +1.37
2 9.50 ▲ +2.61

12 snapshots recorded, from .