Garuda Lions
Today
UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

FK Jablonec vs Brighton

0 – 0 Full time

62′M. PolidarS. Nebyla
62′S. AlioumG. Kuol
65′Sebastian Nebyla
68′O. BoscagliL. Vuskovic
68′M. O'RileyY. Ayari
68′P. GrossC. Andres
68′J. HinshelwoodP. David
69′Costinha
73′Antonín Růsek
74′A. RusekD. Holly
77′Dušan Pavlović
85′Martin Cedidla
86′J. HadjamF. Kadioglu
90′R. SedlacekD. Soucek
90′N. OkekeJ. Chramosta

Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad NisouReferee: S. Kringstad

FK Jablonec 12%
Draw 16%
Brighton 73%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 26
4 Shots on target 4
28 Possession % 72
2 Corners 7
6 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 3
4 Saves 4
143 Accurate passes 503

FK Jablonec vs Brighton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Jablonec vs Brighton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK JablonecDrawBrighton
Model27.9%25.4%46.7%
Market6.3%12.6%81.1%
Final11.7%15.8%72.5%
Edge+5.4%+3.2%-8.6%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Brighton

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.33.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Jablonec ↓ / Brighton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

FK Jablonec and Brighton expected goals

FK Jablonec 1.33
Brighton 1.77

Total expected goals: 3.10

FK Jablonec and Brighton attack and defence ratings

FK Jablonec

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Brighton

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton: result vs prediction

FK Jablonec 0 – 0 Brighton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

FK Jablonec vs Brighton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brighton 72.5% 1.38 -8.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 88.3% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Jablonec11.7%
Draw15.8%
Brighton72.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes62.1%
No37.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)27.5%
12 (either side)84.2%
X2 (draw or away)88.3%
Handicap -1Brighton win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
1-29.4%
2-17.1%

FK Jablonec vs Brighton stats

FK Jablonec and Brighton recent form

newest first
FK Jablonec LLWDLW
Brighton WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Jablonec and Brighton going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Jablonec record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FK Jablonec vs Brighton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 6.3%, draw 12.6%, away 81.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 18.00 8.20 1.16
Bet365 12.00 7.50 1.17
BetVictor 15.00 7.50 1.14
Betano 15.00 7.60 1.21
Betfair 15.00 8.00 1.13
Dafabet 15.00 8.20 1.17
Marathonbet 15.75 7.10 1.15
Pinnacle 14.89 7.81 1.17
SBO 7.34 5.03 1.24
William Hill 15.00 7.00 1.17

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 15.00 ▲ +7.40
X 7.55 ▲ +2.50
2 1.17 ▼ -0.21

12 snapshots recorded, from .