FK Jablonec
vs
Brighton
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Jablonec
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
FK Jablonec vs Brighton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Jablonec vs Brighton
| Probability | FK Jablonec | Draw | Brighton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 27.6% | 33.7% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 38.7% | 27.6% | 33.7% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
FK Jablonec vs Brighton match preview
FK Jablonec faces Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League with a 39% probability of winning, while Brighton has a 34% chance and a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of FK Jablonec, with a 9% likelihood. The model also suggests a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability of both teams scoring.
In terms of expected goals, FK Jablonec is projected to score 1.45, while Brighton is expected to net 1.35. Recent form shows FK Jablonec with a record of D-L-W-L-D-L, contrasting with Brighton's stronger performance of W-W-W-D-L-W. The confidence grade for this match is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Jablonec and Brighton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
FK Jablonec and Brighton attack and defence ratings
FK Jablonec
Brighton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
FK Jablonec vs Brighton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Jablonec | 38.7% | 2.59 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Jablonec | 38.7% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Brighton | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Jablonec win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
FK Jablonec vs Brighton stats
FK Jablonec and Brighton recent form
| FK Jablonec |
DLWLDL |
| Brighton |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Jablonec and Brighton season so far
FK Jablonec record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.