FC Nordsjaelland
vs
CSKA Sofia
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Nordsjaelland
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia
| Probability | FC Nordsjaelland | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.2% | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.2% | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Nordsjaelland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.13.
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia match preview
FC Nordsjaelland faces CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with a projected probability of 49% for a home win, while both a draw and an away victory stand at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring with a 10% likelihood. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is at 58%, and the probability of both teams scoring is 60%.
In terms of expected goals, FC Nordsjaelland is forecasted to achieve 1.78, while CSKA Sofia is expected to score 1.23. Recent form shows FC Nordsjaelland with a record of L-W-W-D-L-W, and CSKA Sofia at D-W-W-D-W-L. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia attack and defence ratings
FC Nordsjaelland
CSKA Sofia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Getafe vs FC Lugano — team news & stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats
- FK Jablonec v Brighton — match page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos vs Riga
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
- Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Nordsjaelland | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Nordsjaelland | 49.2% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| CSKA Sofia | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia stats
FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia recent form
| FC Nordsjaelland |
DLWWDL |
| CSKA Sofia |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia season so far
FC Nordsjaelland record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.