CSKA Sofia
vs
Monaco
1 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | P. Brunner | ||
| 43′ | A. Fati | ||
| 51′ | Stefano Sensi | ||
| 59′ | M. SalisuNazinho | ||
| 59′ | T. MinaminoA. Golovin | ||
| 59′ | L. CamaraD. Zakaria | ||
| 64′ | S. IdumboM. Abline | ||
| 69′ | Max Ebong | ||
| 73′ | Leo PereiraC. Itu | ||
| 73′ | L. GodoyJ. Zwarts | ||
| 76′ | J. Zwarts | ||
| 77′ | A. FatiA. Soubeir | ||
| 78′ | Edan Diop | ||
| 85′ | D. AlmeidaT. Ivanov | ||
| 85′ | I. PittasI. Solet | ||
| 85′ | M. EbongJ. Eto'o | ||
| 90′ | Ángelo Martino |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 346 | Accurate passes | 394 |
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSKA Sofia vs Monaco
| Probability | CSKA Sofia | Draw | Monaco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.1% | 20.6% | 16.3% |
| Market | 15.8% | 20.8% | 63.4% |
| Final | 27.7% | 20.7% | 51.6% |
| Edge | +11.8% | -0.0% | -11.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSKA Sofia and Monaco expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
CSKA Sofia and Monaco attack and defence ratings
CSKA Sofia
Monaco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco: result vs prediction
CSKA Sofia 1 – 2 Monaco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monaco | 51.6% | 1.94 | -11.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA Sofia | 27.7% |
| Draw | 20.7% | |
| Monaco | 51.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Monaco win | 6.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.0% | |
| Loss | 83.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco stats
CSKA Sofia and Monaco recent form
| CSKA Sofia |
WDWWDW |
| Monaco |
DWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.8%, draw 20.8%, away 63.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.17 | 4.78 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 6.10 | 4.70 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 6.00 | 4.70 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 6.20 | 4.80 | 1.51 |
| Pinnacle | 6.13 | 4.66 | 1.50 |
| SBO | 5.80 | 4.27 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .