Bulgaria First League · 2026-10-11T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 11

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia

2 – 3 Full time

19′			Bruno Jordão
28′			Hector Cuellar
28′			Ioannis Pittas
46′			Ángelo MartinoAndrey Yordanov
46′			Mamadou DialloAtanas Iliev
48′			Dragan Grivić
56′			Elias Correa Franco
56′			Fedor·Lapoukhov
63′			Elias Correa Franco
68′			Atanas Iliev
70′			Stefano Sensi
70′			Ioannis PittasCătălin Itu
71′			Joel·ZwartsSantiago Godoy
73′			CSKA Sofia
73′			Dragan Grivićdanilo terasenko
75′			Bruno Jordão
84′			Moataz ZemzemiPetar Vitanov
86′			Max EbongJames Eto'o
90′			Bruno Jordão
90′			Elias Correa FrancoFlorian Krebs
90′			Leonardo Augusto dos Santos PereiraIsaac Solet Bomawoko
90′			Stefano Sensi

Bistritsa Stadium, BistritsaReferee: Lyuboslav Lyubomirov

CSKA 1948

28%

Draw

28%

CSKA Sofia

44%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

11	Shots	18
8	Shots on target	7
36	Possession %	64
1	Corners	2

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	CSKA 1948	Draw	CSKA Sofia
Model	38.5%	28.4%	33.2%
Market	24.3%	27.4%	48.3%
Final	27.9%	27.6%	44.5%
Edge	+3.5%	+0.2%	-3.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

92%

2+ goals

76%

3+ goals

50%

No goals

CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia expected goals

CSKA 1948

1.39

CSKA Sofia

1.28

Total expected goals: 2.68

CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia attack and defence ratings

CSKA 1948

Attack

1.20 +20%

Defence

0.82 -18%

CSKA Sofia

Attack

1.46 +46%

Defence

0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia: result vs prediction

CSKA 1948 2 – 3 CSKA Sofia

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Bulgaria First League

Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 2026-10-10
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Septemvri Sofia v Dunav Ruse — match page · 2026-10-11
Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia · 2026-10-11
Ludogorets v Arda Kardzhali — match page · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

CSKA 1948, previous: Slavia Sofia v CSKA 1948 analysis
CSKA 1948, next: CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv: odds and pick
CSKA Sofia, previous: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia prediction
CSKA Sofia, next: CSKA Sofia v Monaco analysis

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	CSKA Sofia	44.5%	2.25	-3.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50.1%	2.00	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	55.6%	1.80	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.4%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	66.7%	1.50	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	CSKA 1948	27.9%
	Draw	27.6%
	CSKA Sofia	44.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50.1%
	Under 2.5	49.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	55.6%
	No	44.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	55.5%
	12 (either side)	72.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	72.1%
Handicap -1	CSKA Sofia win	15.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.2%
	Loss	66.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.5%
	2-1	8.6%
	1-0	8.4%

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia stats

CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia recent form

newest first

CSKA 1948	WWLWLW
CSKA Sofia	DWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia going into this match

league record before kick-off

CSKA 1948 record

They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

CSKA Sofia record

They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2CSKA 1948 wins 2Draws 6CSKA Sofia wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-13	CSKA Sofia	CSKA 1948	Bulgaria First League	1-1
2026-05-08	CSKA 1948	CSKA Sofia	Bulgaria First League	0-1
2026-02-14	CSKA 1948	CSKA Sofia	Bulgaria First League	0-2
2026-02-10	CSKA Sofia	CSKA 1948	Cup	2-0
2025-08-24	CSKA Sofia	CSKA 1948	Bulgaria First League	0-1
2024-12-07	CSKA Sofia	CSKA 1948	First League	2-2
2024-11-07	CSKA 1948	CSKA Sofia	First League	1-3
2024-05-31	CSKA Sofia	CSKA 1948	First League	0-2
2024-03-09	CSKA 1948	CSKA Sofia	First League	1-2
2023-09-17	CSKA Sofia	CSKA 1948	First League	2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.3%, draw 27.4%, away 48.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	4.01	3.35	1.88
Bet365	3.80	3.60	1.90
BetVictor	3.90	3.50	1.93
Betano	3.55	3.35	2.00
Betfair	3.60	3.40	1.90
Dafabet	3.65	3.45	1.98
Marathonbet	4.00	3.35	1.86
Pinnacle	4.06	3.47	1.93
SBO	3.26	3.06	1.94
William Hill	3.80	3.10	1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.80 ▼ -0.15

X 3.38 ▼ -0.01

2 1.92 ▲ +0.04

16 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-04T08:10:02Z.