CSKA 1948
vs
CSKA Sofia
Garuda Lions Prediction: CSKA Sofia
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia
| Probability | CSKA 1948 | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 28.4% | 33.0% |
| Market | 23.6% | 27.1% | 49.3% |
| Final | 27.4% | 27.4% | 45.2% |
| Edge | +15.0% | +1.3% | -16.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia match preview
CSKA 1948 faces CSKA Sofia in a Bulgaria First League matchup on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 27% probability of a CSKA 1948 victory, while CSKA Sofia is favored at 45%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 56% chance for both teams to find the net and a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals.
Recent form shows CSKA 1948 with three wins in their last six matches, while CSKA Sofia has two wins in their last six. In their last four encounters, CSKA 1948 has one win, one draw, and CSKA Sofia has two wins. Expected goals suggest CSKA 1948 at 1.40 and CSKA Sofia at 1.28, reflecting a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia attack and defence ratings
CSKA 1948
CSKA Sofia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA Sofia | 45.2% | 2.21 | -16.3% | 1.90 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSKA 1948 | 27.4% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| CSKA Sofia | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | CSKA Sofia win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 67.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia stats
CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia recent form
| CSKA 1948 |
WWLWLW |
| CSKA Sofia |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia season so far
CSKA 1948 record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
CSKA Sofia record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | CSKA Sofia | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-08 | CSKA 1948 | CSKA Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-14 | CSKA 1948 | CSKA Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | CSKA Sofia | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 27.1%, away 49.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.01 | 3.35 | 1.88 |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.85 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.50 | 1.87 |
| Marathonbet | 4.00 | 3.35 | 1.86 |
| Pinnacle | 4.16 | 3.43 | 1.86 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.10 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .