Botev Vratsa
vs
Spartak Varna
0 – 1 Full time
| 43′ | David Valverde | ||
| 46′ | anton ivanovboris ivanov | ||
| 57′ | Boubacar Hanne | ||
| 60′ | Martin SmolenskiFilip gigov | ||
| 61′ | Angel Granchov | ||
| 62′ | Joao LopesEdson Martinho Silva | ||
| 66′ | Martin Detelinov Petkov | ||
| 74′ | Okoh chideraTsvetelin Chunchukov | ||
| 74′ | David ValverdeDeyan Lozev | ||
| 74′ | Vladislav NaydenovDaniel Genov | ||
| 74′ | Jose Gallegossamuil mechev | ||
| 84′ | ricardo sousaVasco Oliveira | ||
| 86′ | BuchkovBoyanov | ||
| 90′ | Ivan Goranov |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna
| Probability | Botev Vratsa | Draw | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 29.4% | 31.0% |
| Market | 51.3% | 28.0% | 20.7% |
| Final | 48.4% | 28.3% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +0.3% | +2.6% |
Why Botev Vratsa
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna attack and defence ratings
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna: result vs prediction
Botev Vratsa 0 – 1 Spartak Varna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Vratsa | 48.4% | 2.07 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Vratsa | 48.4% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Spartak Varna | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botev Vratsa win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna stats
Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna recent form
| Botev Vratsa |
DDWLWL |
| Spartak Varna |
LDDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna going into this match
Botev Vratsa record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Spartak Varna record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Botev Vratsa | Spartak Varna | Bulgaria First League | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Botev Vratsa | Spartak Varna | Bulgaria First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Spartak Varna | Botev Vratsa | Bulgaria First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-01 | Spartak Varna | Botev Vratsa | First League | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-13 | Botev Vratsa | Spartak Varna | First League | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Botev Vratsa | Spartak Varna | First League | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Spartak Varna | Botev Vratsa | First League | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-15 | Botev Vratsa | Spartak Varna | First League | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-22 | Botev Vratsa | Spartak Varna | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.3%, draw 28.0%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.28 | 4.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.35 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.28 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80 | 3.39 | 4.92 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 2.90 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .