Septemvri Sofia
vs
Dunav Ruse
2 – 3 Full time
| 15′ | dimitar todorov | ||
| 20′ | jose cabarcas | ||
| 25′ | Frantzety Herard | ||
| 35′ | Sergeev petar gospodinov | ||
| 37′ | Andre Liberal | ||
| 40′ | Andre Liberalaleksandar dzhamov | ||
| 41′ | George kitanovBartosz Zelazowski | ||
| 46′ | Radoslav ApostolovElie Sou | ||
| 46′ | Kyriakos AntoniouMario dilchovski | ||
| 63′ | Ilker Budinov | ||
| 65′ | Njomgang William FonkeuVladan Vidaković | ||
| 73′ | Andre Alves | ||
| 80′ | Pedro IgorStoyan Stoichkov | ||
| 80′ | Galin Ivanovnicolas fontaine | ||
| 84′ | Ilker BudinovBozhidar Chorbadzhiyski | ||
| 90′ | Alexander Valiño Navasal | ||
| 90′ | Septemvri Sofia |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
| Probability | Septemvri Sofia | Draw | Dunav Ruse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 27.6% | 32.3% |
| Market | 41.9% | 30.0% | 28.1% |
| Final | 41.5% | 29.4% | 29.1% |
| Edge | -0.5% | -0.6% | +1.1% |
Why Septemvri Sofia
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Septemvri Sofia and Dunav Ruse expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Septemvri Sofia and Dunav Ruse attack and defence ratings
Septemvri Sofia
Dunav Ruse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse: result vs prediction
Septemvri Sofia 2 – 3 Dunav Ruse
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Septemvri Sofia | 41.5% | 2.41 | -0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Septemvri Sofia | 41.5% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Dunav Ruse | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Septemvri Sofia win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse stats
Septemvri Sofia and Dunav Ruse recent form
| Septemvri Sofia |
LLLDWW |
| Dunav Ruse |
DLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Septemvri Sofia and Dunav Ruse going into this match
Septemvri Sofia record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Dunav Ruse record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-22 | Septemvri Sofia | Dunav Ruse | Second League | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-02 | Dunav Ruse | Septemvri Sofia | Second League | 1-1 |
| 2019-04-26 | Septemvri Sofia | Dunav Ruse | First League | 1-1 |
| 2019-04-08 | Dunav Ruse | Septemvri Sofia | First League | 2-2 |
| 2018-12-09 | Septemvri Sofia | Dunav Ruse | First League | 2-1 |
| 2018-08-24 | Dunav Ruse | Septemvri Sofia | First League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 30.0%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.02 | 3.27 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.05 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.02 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.17 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 2.92 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .