Septemvri Sofia
vs
Botev Plovdiv
0 – 3 Full time
| 26′ | alberto tajero saido | ||
| 29′ | Pedro Ferreira | ||
| 33′ | Simeon Petrov | ||
| 36′ | Vladimir Mendes | ||
| 46′ | velian vidolovwilliams chimezie | ||
| 46′ | Vladimir MendesBogdan Kostov | ||
| 49′ | edney ribeiro | ||
| 52′ | Nikola SoldoMarvin Senger | ||
| 54′ | Samuel Kalu | ||
| 60′ | Pedro IgorAndre Liberal | ||
| 68′ | Kubrat Onasci | ||
| 70′ | Galin IvanovNikola Lliev | ||
| 71′ | alberto tajero saidomascote | ||
| 71′ | Lucas AraujoCarlos algarra | ||
| 75′ | Samuel Kalu | ||
| 81′ | Andre Liberal | ||
| 83′ | Botev Plovdiv | ||
| 84′ | Frantzety Herardaleksandar dzhamov | ||
| 84′ | Kubrat OnasciZachary Atanasov |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
| Probability | Septemvri Sofia | Draw | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 26.9% | 39.5% |
| Market | 21.7% | 26.5% | 51.7% |
| Final | 24.7% | 26.6% | 48.7% |
| Edge | +11.9% | +0.4% | -12.3% |
Why Botev Plovdiv
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Septemvri Sofia and Botev Plovdiv expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Septemvri Sofia and Botev Plovdiv attack and defence ratings
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: result vs prediction
Septemvri Sofia 0 – 3 Botev Plovdiv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 48.7% | 2.05 | -12.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Septemvri Sofia | 24.7% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Botev Plovdiv | 48.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botev Plovdiv win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv stats
Septemvri Sofia and Botev Plovdiv recent form
| Septemvri Sofia |
LLDWWL |
| Botev Plovdiv |
WWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Septemvri Sofia and Botev Plovdiv going into this match
Septemvri Sofia record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
Botev Plovdiv record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Botev Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Septemvri Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | Bulgaria First League | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-12 | Botev Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia | First League | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-04 | Septemvri Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-10 | Septemvri Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-26 | Botev Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia | First League | 3-1 |
| 2018-11-10 | Botev Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia | First League | 2-0 |
| 2018-07-28 | Septemvri Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | First League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.7%, draw 26.5%, away 51.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.30 | 3.48 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.30 | 3.48 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 4.41 | 3.59 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .